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Predictions › United Kingdom › Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic
ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic prediction

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff CityHome
1.42 : 1.11
expected goals
Charlton AthleticAway
43%Cardiff
28%Draw
29%Charlton
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic is Cardiff City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Cardiff City to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Cardiff City 1.4, Charlton Athletic 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cardiff City 43%, the draw 28% and Charlton Athletic 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cardiff City took 2 points from their last 5 games and Charlton Athletic took 5 from 5. Charlton Athletic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cardiff City won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Charlton Athletic won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Cardiff City score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Charlton Athletic score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Cardiff City games and 10 of Charlton Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic: Cardiff City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cardiff City host Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 at Cardiff City Stadium. Our prediction for Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic is Cardiff City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Cardiff City form

Cardiff City have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Cardiff City to score about 1.4 goals and Charlton Athletic about 1.1. That points to Cardiff City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CardiffCharlton
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws85
Losses68
Goals scored3321
Goals conceded2828
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record4W 4D 3L4W 1D 5L
Away record2W 4D 3L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
Cardiff City or Draw71%2/5
Charlton Athletic or Draw57%4/5
Cardiff City to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.516%11/2
Cardiff City clean sheet33%2/1
Charlton Athletic clean sheet24%3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-010.5%
2-18.9%
0-08.7%
0-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Our prediction for Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic is Cardiff City to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Cardiff City to score 1.4 goals and Charlton Athletic 1.1.

Will both teams score in Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Cardiff City last 20 games and 13 of Charlton Athletic last 20.

How are Cardiff City playing?

Cardiff City have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

Charlton Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Cardiff City vs Charlton Athletic?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.