Predictions › LaLiga › Celta Vigo vs Málaga
Celta Vigo vs Málaga prediction
Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 Kenya time, Balaidos
Celta Vigo1.68 - 0.88
expected goals
MálagaCelta Vigo 56%Draw 26%Málaga 19%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Celta Vigo or Draw
⚡
Bold pick
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo to win | 56% | 1.80 | 1.71 | -4.8% |
| A Draw | 26% | 3.91 | 3.75 | -4.1% |
| Málaga to win | 19% | 5.29 | 5.00 | -5.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.05 | -3.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.77 | -6.2% |
| Celta Vigo -0.5 | 56% | 1.80 | 1.67 | -7.5% |
| Málaga +0.5 | 44% | 2.25 | 2.10 | -6.6% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.94 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 2.07 |
| Celta Vigo or Draw | 81% | 1.23 |
| Málaga or Draw | 44% | 2.25 |
| Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.10 |
| Málaga to win and Over 2.5 | 10% | 10.24 |
| Celta Vigo clean sheet | 42% | 2.41 |
| Málaga clean sheet | 19% | 5.34 |
Most likely scores
1-012.3%
1-112.1%
2-010.9%
2-19.6%
0-08.5%
Questions people ask
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
Our model gives Celta Vigo a 56% chance, the draw 26% and Málaga 19%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
We expect about 2.6 goals (Celta Vigo 1.68, Málaga 0.88). Over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance.
Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
Both teams to score has a 48% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-0, with a 12.3% chance, followed by 1-1 and 2-0.