PredictionsLaLigaCelta Vigo vs Racing Santander
LaLigaSat 19 Sept, 16:30 UTC

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander prediction

Balaidos

Celta VigoHome
1.71 : 1.34
expected goals
Racing SantanderAway
46%Celta Vigo
25%Draw
29%Racing
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander is Celta Vigo to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Celta Vigo to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Celta Vigo 1.7, Racing Santander 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

Eagle bold pick

Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.201 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celta Vigo 46%, the draw 25% and Racing Santander 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celta Vigo took 3 points from their last 5 games and Racing Santander took 4 from 4. Racing Santander come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Celta Vigo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Racing Santander score 1.8 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Celta Vigo games and 3 of Racing Santander games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: Celta Vigo are favourites

The big picture

Celta Vigo host Racing Santander in the LaLiga on Sat 19 Sept, 16:30 at Balaidos. Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander is Celta Vigo to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Celta Vigo form

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Racing Santander form

Racing Santander have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read L, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Celta Vigo to score about 1.7 goals and Racing Santander about 1.3. That points to Celta Vigo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.20.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Celta VigoRacing
Games played204
Wins51
Draws61
Losses92
Goals scored227
Goals conceded308
Scored per game1.11.8
Conceded per game1.52.0
Home record2W 1D 6L1W 1D 0L
Away record3W 5D 3L0W 0D 2L
Clean sheets25%0%
Both teams scored55%75%
Over 2.5 goals45%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.75
Both teams to score61%1.64
Celta Vigo or Draw71%1.42
Racing Santander or Draw54%1.84
Celta Vigo to win and Over 2.531%3.20
Racing Santander to win and Over 2.519%5.14
Celta Vigo clean sheet26%3.81
Racing Santander clean sheet18%5.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.3%
1-07.5%
1-27.3%
2-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Our prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander is Celta Vigo to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Celta Vigo to score 1.7 goals and Racing Santander 1.3.

Will both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Celta Vigo last 20 games and 3 of Racing Santander last 4.

How are Celta Vigo playing?

Celta Vigo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Racing Santander playing?

Racing Santander have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 games, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 2. Their last 4 results read L, W, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.