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Predictions › Europa League › Celtic vs Ferencvaros
Europa LeagueThu 17 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Celtic vs Ferencvaros prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome
2.06 : 1.11
expected goals
FerencvarosAway
59%Celtic
22%Draw
19%Ferencvaros
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Ferencvaros is Celtic to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Celtic to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Celtic 2.1, Ferencvaros 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Celtic to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price 2.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celtic 59%, the draw 22% and Ferencvaros 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Celtic the favourite at 1.71.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celtic took 15 points from their last 5 games and Ferencvaros took 6 from 5. Celtic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celtic won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Ferencvaros won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celtic score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Ferencvaros score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Celtic games and 6 of Ferencvaros games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Celtic vs Ferencvaros: Celtic are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Celtic host Ferencvaros in the Europa League on Thu 17 Sept, 19:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Ferencvaros is Celtic to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Ferencvaros form

Ferencvaros have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 2.1 goals and Ferencvaros about 1.1. That points to Celtic to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Celtic to win and Over 2.5 at 2.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticFerencvaros
Games played2012
Wins166
Draws13
Losses33
Goals scored4117
Goals conceded2217
Scored per game2.01.4
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record8W 0D 2L4W 2D 0L
Away record8W 1D 1L2W 1D 3L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored70%58%
Over 2.5 goals75%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Celtic to win59%1.701.71+0.8%
A Draw22%4.544.10-9.6%
Ferencvaros to win19%5.224.40-15.7%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.482.30-7.3%
Under 3.5 goals60%1.671.59-5.2%
Celtic -0.557%1.751.63-7.2%
Ferencvaros +0.543%2.332.10-9.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.56
Both teams to score59%1.70
Celtic or Draw81%1.24
Ferencvaros or Draw41%2.43
Celtic to win and Over 2.542%2.40
Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.512%8.00
Celtic clean sheet33%3.02
Ferencvaros clean sheet13%7.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%
1-08.1%
3-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Ferencvaros?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Ferencvaros is Celtic to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Ferencvaros?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Celtic to score 2.1 goals and Ferencvaros 1.1.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Ferencvaros?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Celtic last 20 games and 7 of Ferencvaros last 12.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Ferencvaros playing?

Ferencvaros have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Ferencvaros?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.