PredictionsUnited KingdomCeltic vs Rangers
Scottish PremiershipSun 20 Sept, 12:00 United Kingdom time

Celtic vs Rangers prediction

Celtic Park

CelticHome
1.67 : 1.24
expected goals
RangersAway
47%Celtic
25%Draw
28%Rangers
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Celtic vs Rangers is Celtic to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Celtic to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Celtic 1.7, Rangers 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units

Eagle bold pick

Celtic to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Celtic 47%, the draw 25% and Rangers 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Celtic took 15 points from their last 5 games and Rangers took 12 from 5. Celtic come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Celtic won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Rangers won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Celtic score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Rangers score 2.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Celtic games and 14 of Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Celtic won 1 and Rangers won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Celtic 3, Rangers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Celtic vs Rangers: Celtic are favourites

The big picture

Celtic host Rangers in the Scottish Premiership on Sun 20 Sept, 12:00 at Celtic Park. Our prediction for Celtic vs Rangers is Celtic to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Celtic form

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Rangers form

Rangers have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Celtic won 1, Rangers won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Celtic 3, Rangers 1.

Our call

We expect Celtic to score about 1.7 goals and Rangers about 1.2. That points to Celtic to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Celtic to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CelticRangers
Games played2020
Wins1611
Draws14
Losses35
Goals scored4146
Goals conceded2230
Scored per game2.02.3
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record8W 0D 2L6W 1D 3L
Away record8W 1D 1L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored70%80%
Over 2.5 goals75%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals33%2/1
Both teams to score58%8/11
Celtic or Draw72%2/5
Rangers or Draw53%10/11
Celtic to win and Over 2.531%9/4
Rangers to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Celtic clean sheet29%5/2
Rangers clean sheet19%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-19.4%
1-08.4%
2-07.6%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Celtic vs Rangers?

Our prediction for Celtic vs Rangers is Celtic to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Celtic vs Rangers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Celtic to score 1.7 goals and Rangers 1.2.

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Celtic last 20 games and 16 of Rangers last 20.

How are Celtic playing?

Celtic have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Rangers playing?

Rangers have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Celtic and Rangers last met?

It ended Celtic 3, Rangers 1. In the last 3 meetings Celtic won 1 and Rangers won 1.

What is the best bet for Celtic vs Rangers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.