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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga ProfesionalFri 18 Sept, 21:00 UTC

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia prediction

Alfredo Terrera

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Home
1.12 : 1.07
expected goals
Defensa y JusticiaAway
36%C. Córdoba (SE)
31%Draw
33%Def. y Jus.
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1.1, Defensa y Justicia 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 36%, the draw 31% and Defensa y Justicia 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 4 points from their last 5 games and Defensa y Justicia took 10 from 5. Defensa y Justicia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Defensa y Justicia won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. Defensa y Justicia score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games and 9 of Defensa y Justicia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Defensa y Justicia won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Defensa y Justicia 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia: Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) host Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Fri 18 Sept, 21:00 at Alfredo Terrera. Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Defensa y Justicia form

Defensa y Justicia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0, Defensa y Justicia won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Defensa y Justicia 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1.

Our call

We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score about 1.1 goals and Defensa y Justicia about 1.1. That points to Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

C. Córdoba (SE)Def. y Jus.
Games played2020
Wins56
Draws47
Losses117
Goals scored1423
Goals conceded2728
Scored per game0.71.1
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record4W 1D 5L4W 5D 2L
Away record1W 3D 6L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored30%65%
Over 2.5 goals30%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.68
Over 3.5 goals18%5.62
Both teams to score45%2.22
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw67%1.50
Defensa y Justicia or Draw64%1.56
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.517%5.83
Defensa y Justicia to win and Over 2.516%6.40
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet34%2.90
Defensa y Justicia clean sheet33%3.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-012.0%
1-011.8%
0-111.2%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia?

Our prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia is Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 1.1 goals and Defensa y Justicia 1.1.

Will both teams score in Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20 games and 13 of Defensa y Justicia last 20.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Defensa y Justicia playing?

Defensa y Justicia have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) and Defensa y Justicia last met?

It ended Defensa y Justicia 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1. In the last 1 meeting Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 0 and Defensa y Justicia won 0.

What is the best bet for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) vs Defensa y Justicia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.