PredictionsUnited StatesCF Montréal vs Columbus Crew
MLSSat 19 Sept, 19:30 United States time

CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew prediction

Stade Saputo

CF MontréalHome
1.62 : 1.38
expected goals
Columbus CrewAway
42%CF Montréal
25%Draw
32%Columbus
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-422

Quick answer

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew is CF Montréal to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -422.

Prediction
CF Montréal to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
CF Montréal 1.6, Columbus Crew 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -422
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4222 units

Eagle bold pick

CF Montréal to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price +2501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CF Montréal 42%, the draw 25% and Columbus Crew 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CF Montréal took 4 points from their last 5 games and Columbus Crew took 3 from 5. CF Montréal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CF Montréal won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Columbus Crew won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CF Montréal score 1.4 goals a game and let in 2.0. Columbus Crew score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of CF Montréal games and 16 of Columbus Crew games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, CF Montréal won 1 and Columbus Crew won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Columbus Crew 1, CF Montréal 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew: CF Montréal shade it

The big picture

CF Montréal host Columbus Crew in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 19:30 at Stade Saputo. Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew is CF Montréal to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -422.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. CF Montréal won 1, Columbus Crew won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Columbus Crew 1, CF Montréal 2.

Our call

We expect CF Montréal to score about 1.6 goals and Columbus Crew about 1.4. That points to CF Montréal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -422. Our bold bet is CF Montréal to win and Over 2.5 at +250.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CF MontréalColumbus
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws63
Losses1011
Goals scored2731
Goals conceded4035
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game2.01.8
Home record3W 5D 4L5W 1D 4L
Away record1W 1D 6L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-421
Over 2.5 goals58%-137
Over 3.5 goals35%+183
Both teams to score61%-155
CF Montréal or Draw68%-212
Columbus Crew or Draw58%-135
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.529%+250
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.521%+373
CF Montréal clean sheet25%+299
Columbus Crew clean sheet20%+406

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-19.0%
1-27.7%
1-07.4%
2-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

Our prediction for CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew is CF Montréal to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -422.

What is the score prediction for CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect CF Montréal to score 1.6 goals and Columbus Crew 1.4.

Will both teams score in CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of CF Montréal last 20 games and 16 of Columbus Crew last 20.

How are CF Montréal playing?

CF Montréal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when CF Montréal and Columbus Crew last met?

It ended Columbus Crew 1, CF Montréal 2. In the last 1 meeting CF Montréal won 1 and Columbus Crew won 0.

What is the best bet for CF Montréal vs Columbus Crew?

Over 1.5 goals at -422, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.