Charlotte 49ers vs App State Mountaineers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

App State to win

85% chanceFair price -5812 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives App State Mountaineers 85% and Charlotte 49ers 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   App State Mountaineers won 2 of their last 5 and Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 5. App State Mountaineers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   App State Mountaineers won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   App State Mountaineers score 26.3 points a game and let in 30.5. Charlotte 49ers score 18.1 and let in 38.6. Their recent games average 56.8 and 56.7 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   App State to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. App State +3.5 wins if App State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.