Charlotte 49ers vs Ole Miss Rebels prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Under 70.5 points

75% chanceFair price -2961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Ole Miss Rebels 100% and Charlotte 49ers 0%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Ole Miss Rebels won 4 of their last 5 and Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 5. Ole Miss Rebels come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Ole Miss Rebels won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte 49ers won 0 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Ole Miss Rebels score 35.9 points a game and let in 23.1. Charlotte 49ers score 18.1 and let in 38.6. Their recent games average 59.0 and 56.7 points in total, and the market line is 60.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 70.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ole Miss +3.5 wins if Ole Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.