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Predictions › United Kingdom › Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth
ChampionshipSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth prediction

The Valley

Charlton AthleticHome
1.21 : 1.23
expected goals
PortsmouthAway
35%Charlton
29%Draw
36%Portsmouth
Eagle value pickCharlton Athletic to win
2/1

Quick answer

Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth is Portsmouth to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Charlton Athletic to win at 2/1.

Prediction
Portsmouth to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Charlton Athletic 1.2, Portsmouth 1.2
Best bet
Charlton Athletic to win at 2/1
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Charlton Athletic +0.5
62% chancePrice 1/21 unit
★

Eagle value pick

Charlton Athletic to win
35% chancePrice 2/1+3.4% value1 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlton Athletic 35%, the draw 29% and Portsmouth 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Portsmouth the favourite at 6/4.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlton Athletic took 5 points from their last 5 games and Portsmouth took 6 from 5. Portsmouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlton Athletic won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Charlton Athletic score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Portsmouth score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Charlton Athletic games and 10 of Portsmouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Charlton Athletic won 0 and Portsmouth won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlton Athletic 1, Portsmouth 3.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Charlton Athletic to win is priced at 2/1. Our fair price is 15/8, so the bookmaker pays about 3.4% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth: Portsmouth shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Charlton Athletic host Portsmouth in the Championship on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at The Valley. Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth is Portsmouth to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Charlton Athletic to win at 2/1.

Charlton Athletic form

Charlton Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Charlton Athletic won 0, Portsmouth won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlton Athletic 1, Portsmouth 3.

Our call

We expect Charlton Athletic to score about 1.2 goals and Portsmouth about 1.2. That points to Portsmouth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Charlton Athletic +0.5 at 1/2. Our value bet is Charlton Athletic to win at 2/1. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CharltonPortsmouth
Games played2020
Wins76
Draws54
Losses810
Goals scored2124
Goals conceded2834
Scored per game1.11.2
Conceded per game1.41.7
Home record4W 1D 5L3W 2D 5L
Away record3W 4D 3L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Charlton Athletic to win35%15/82/1+3.4%
A Draw29%5/29/4-5.8%
Portsmouth to win36%9/56/4-10.1%
Over 2.5 goals44%5/411/10-5.4%
Under 2.5 goals56%4/54/6-5.3%
Charlton Athletic +0.562%8/131/2-6.0%
Portsmouth -0.538%13/87/5-9.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%2/5
Over 2.5 goals44%5/4
Over 3.5 goals23%10/3
Both teams to score50%Evens
Charlton Athletic or Draw64%4/7
Portsmouth or Draw65%8/15
Charlton Athletic to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Portsmouth to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Charlton Athletic clean sheet29%12/5
Portsmouth clean sheet30%12/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-110.0%
1-09.8%
0-09.5%
1-28.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?

Our prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth is Portsmouth to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Charlton Athletic to win at 2/1.

What is the score prediction for Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Charlton Athletic to score 1.2 goals and Portsmouth 1.2.

Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Charlton Athletic last 20 games and 13 of Portsmouth last 20.

How are Charlton Athletic playing?

Charlton Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Portsmouth playing?

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth last met?

It ended Charlton Athletic 1, Portsmouth 3. In the last 2 meetings Charlton Athletic won 0 and Portsmouth won 2.

What is the best bet for Charlton Athletic vs Portsmouth?

Charlton Athletic to win at 2/1, with a 35% chance. That price pays about 3.4% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.