Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Panthers +10

74% chanceFair price -2791 unit

★

Eagle value pick

Panthers +3

54% chancePrice -102+6.7% value2 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Panthers to win

41% chancePrice +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Carolina Panthers 41% and Chicago Bears 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Chicago Bears the favourite at -170.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Carolina Panthers won 3 of their last 5 and Chicago Bears won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Carolina Panthers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Chicago Bears won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Carolina Panthers score 20.4 points a game and let in 22.5. Chicago Bears score 25.6 and let in 21.8. Their recent games average 42.9 and 47.3 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

5. 5
   Where the value is

   Panthers +3 is priced at -102. Our fair price is -117, so the bookmaker pays about 6.7% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Panthers +3.5 wins if Panthers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.