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Predictions › United States › Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution
MLSSun 13 Sept, 17:30 United States time

Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution prediction

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire FCHome
1.81 : 1.33
expected goals
New England RevolutionAway
48%Chicago
24%Draw
28%New England
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-478

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478.

Prediction
Chicago Fire FC to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Chicago Fire FC 1.8, New England Revolution 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -478
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4782 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price +1951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Fire FC 48%, the draw 24% and New England Revolution 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Chicago Fire FC the favourite at -120.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Fire FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and New England Revolution took 10 from 5. New England Revolution come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Fire FC won 6 of their last 10 games at home. New England Revolution won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chicago Fire FC score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. New England Revolution score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Chicago Fire FC games and 13 of New England Revolution games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Chicago Fire FC won 0 and New England Revolution won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended New England Revolution 2, Chicago Fire FC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution: Chicago Fire FC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Fire FC host New England Revolution in the MLS on Sun 13 Sept, 17:30 at Soldier Field. Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478.

Chicago Fire FC form

Chicago Fire FC have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

New England Revolution form

New England Revolution have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chicago Fire FC won 0, New England Revolution won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished New England Revolution 2, Chicago Fire FC 2.

Our call

We expect Chicago Fire FC to score about 1.8 goals and New England Revolution about 1.3. That points to Chicago Fire FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478. Our bold bet is Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.5 at +195.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ChicagoNew England
Games played2020
Wins1011
Draws54
Losses55
Goals scored4031
Goals conceded3121
Scored per game2.01.6
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record6W 1D 3L7W 2D 2L
Away record4W 4D 2L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%25%
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Chicago Fire FC to win48%+107-120-11.6%
A Draw24%+313+290-5.6%
New England Revolution to win28%+263+255-2.2%
Over 3.5 goals42%+140+120-8.3%
Under 3.5 goals58%-140-150-2.8%
Chicago Fire FC -0.550%-102-125-9.1%
New England Revolution +0.550%+102-110-5.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%-478
Over 2.5 goals61%-155
Over 3.5 goals38%+160
Both teams to score62%-164
Chicago Fire FC or Draw72%-263
New England Revolution or Draw52%-107
Chicago Fire FC to win and Over 2.534%+195
New England Revolution to win and Over 2.519%+437
Chicago Fire FC clean sheet27%+277
New England Revolution clean sheet16%+512

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
2-19.4%
1-07.2%
2-07.1%
1-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?

Our prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution is Chicago Fire FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478.

What is the score prediction for Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Chicago Fire FC to score 1.8 goals and New England Revolution 1.3.

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Chicago Fire FC last 20 games and 12 of New England Revolution last 20.

How are Chicago Fire FC playing?

Chicago Fire FC have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, W, newest first.

How are New England Revolution playing?

New England Revolution have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Fire FC and New England Revolution last met?

It ended New England Revolution 2, Chicago Fire FC 2. In the last 1 meeting Chicago Fire FC won 0 and New England Revolution won 0.

What is the best bet for Chicago Fire FC vs New England Revolution?

Over 1.5 goals at -478, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.