Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cardinals +1.5

64% chancePrice -1931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives St. Louis Cardinals 51% and Chicago White Sox 49%. The bookmakers agree and make St. Louis Cardinals the favourite at -114.

2. 2
   Recent form

   St. Louis Cardinals won 1 of their last 5 and Chicago White Sox won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   St. Louis Cardinals won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Chicago White Sox won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   St. Louis Cardinals score 5.5 runs a game and let in 6.6. Chicago White Sox score 4.0 and let in 4.4. Their recent games average 12.1 and 8.4 runs in total, and the market line is 8.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Cardinals +1.5 has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cardinals +3.5 wins if Cardinals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.