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Predictions › South Africa › Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns
South African PremiershipSat 12 Sept, 17:30 South Africa time

Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction

Buffalo City Stadium

Chippa UnitedHome
0.68 : 1.93
expected goals
Mamelodi SundownsAway
12%Chippa Utd
22%Draw
67%M Sundowns
Eagle safe pickMamelodi Sundowns draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns is Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
0-2
Expected goals
Chippa United 0.7, Mamelodi Sundowns 1.9
Best bet
Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mamelodi Sundowns to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chippa United 12%, the draw 22% and Mamelodi Sundowns 67%. The bookmakers agree and make Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 1.29.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chippa United took 4 points from their last 5 games and Mamelodi Sundowns took 15 from 5. Mamelodi Sundowns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chippa United won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chippa United score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Chippa United games and 11 of Mamelodi Sundowns games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Chippa United won 0 and Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mamelodi Sundowns 4, Chippa United 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns: Mamelodi Sundowns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chippa United host Mamelodi Sundowns in the South African Premiership on Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 at Buffalo City Stadium. Our prediction for Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns is Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet at 1.18.

Chippa United form

Chippa United have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Mamelodi Sundowns form

Mamelodi Sundowns have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chippa United won 0, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mamelodi Sundowns 4, Chippa United 1.

Our call

We expect Chippa United to score about 0.7 goals and Mamelodi Sundowns about 1.9. That points to Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with 0-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Mamelodi Sundowns to win and Over 2.5 at 2.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Chippa UtdM Sundowns
Games played2020
Wins515
Draws84
Losses71
Goals scored1948
Goals conceded2819
Scored per game0.92.4
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record3W 3D 4L10W 2D 0L
Away record2W 5D 3L5W 2D 1L
Clean sheets40%40%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Chippa United to win12%8.579.00+5.0%
A Draw22%4.594.80+4.5%
Mamelodi Sundowns to win67%1.501.29-14.4%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.941.74-10.2%
Under 2.5 goals48%2.061.95-5.4%
Chippa United +1.554%1.871.77-5.3%
Mamelodi Sundowns -1.546%2.151.87-13.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.74
Both teams to score43%2.34
Chippa United or Draw33%2.99
Mamelodi Sundowns or Draw88%1.13
Chippa United to win and Over 2.56%17.93
Mamelodi Sundowns to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Chippa United clean sheet14%6.92
Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet51%1.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-213.7%
0-113.6%
1-110.2%
1-29.3%
0-38.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our prediction for Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns is Mamelodi Sundowns to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 0-2. Our best bet is Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

0-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-1. We expect Chippa United to score 0.7 goals and Mamelodi Sundowns 1.9.

Will both teams score in Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Chippa United last 20 games and 12 of Mamelodi Sundowns last 20.

How are Chippa United playing?

Chippa United have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Mamelodi Sundowns playing?

Mamelodi Sundowns have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Chippa United and Mamelodi Sundowns last met?

It ended Mamelodi Sundowns 4, Chippa United 1. In the last 1 meeting Chippa United won 0 and Mamelodi Sundowns won 1.

What is the best bet for Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Mamelodi Sundowns draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.