Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Jaguars to win

78% chancePrice -4551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars 78% and Cleveland Browns 22%. The bookmakers agree and make Jacksonville Jaguars the favourite at -455.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Jacksonville Jaguars won 3 of their last 5 and Cleveland Browns won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Jacksonville Jaguars won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Cleveland Browns won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Jacksonville Jaguars score 26.6 points a game and let in 20.4. Cleveland Browns score 16.7 and let in 23.2. Their recent games average 47.0 and 39.8 points in total, and the market line is 39.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Jaguars to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jaguars +3.5 wins if Jaguars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.