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Predictions › United States › Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal
MLSSat 12 Sept, 21:30 United States time

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Colorado RapidsHome
2.06 : 1.03
expected goals
CF MontréalAway
61%Colorado
22%Draw
18%CF Montréal
Eagle safe pickColorado Rapids to win
-155

Quick answer

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Colorado Rapids to win at -155.

Prediction
Colorado Rapids to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Colorado Rapids 2.1, CF Montréal 1.0
Best bet
Colorado Rapids to win at -155
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Colorado Rapids to win
61% chancePrice -1551 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Rapids 61%, the draw 22% and CF Montréal 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Colorado Rapids the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Rapids took 7 points from their last 5 games and CF Montréal took 4 from 5. Colorado Rapids come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Rapids won 6 of their last 9 games at home. CF Montréal won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Colorado Rapids score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. CF Montréal score 1.4 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Colorado Rapids games and 12 of CF Montréal games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Colorado Rapids to win has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal: Colorado Rapids are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Colorado Rapids host CF Montréal in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 21:30 at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Colorado Rapids to win at -155.

Colorado Rapids form

Colorado Rapids have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

CF Montréal form

CF Montréal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Colorado Rapids to score about 2.1 goals and CF Montréal about 1.0. That points to Colorado Rapids to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Colorado Rapids to win at -155. Our bold bet is Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.5 at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColoradoCF Montréal
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws26
Losses1010
Goals scored2527
Goals conceded2640
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game1.32.0
Home record6W 0D 3L3W 5D 4L
Away record2W 2D 7L1W 1D 6L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Colorado Rapids to win61%-154-155-0.3%
A Draw22%+358+300-12.6%
CF Montréal to win18%+470+340-22.8%
Over 2.5 goals58%-140-155-4.1%
Under 2.5 goals42%+140+125-6.2%
Colorado Rapids -0.558%-138-160-5.7%
CF Montréal +0.542%+138+115-9.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%-454
Over 2.5 goals60%-148
Over 3.5 goals37%+169
Both teams to score57%-130
Colorado Rapids or Draw82%-470
CF Montréal or Draw39%+154
Colorado Rapids to win and Over 2.542%+137
CF Montréal to win and Over 2.511%+807
Colorado Rapids clean sheet36%+179
CF Montréal clean sheet13%+685

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
1-08.8%
3-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Our prediction for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal is Colorado Rapids to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Colorado Rapids to win at -155.

What is the score prediction for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Colorado Rapids to score 2.1 goals and CF Montréal 1.0.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Colorado Rapids last 20 games and 12 of CF Montréal last 20.

How are Colorado Rapids playing?

Colorado Rapids have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are CF Montréal playing?

CF Montréal have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Colorado Rapids vs CF Montréal?

Colorado Rapids to win at -155, with a 61% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.