PredictionsUnited StatesColumbus Crew vs Red Bull New York
MLSSat 12 Sept, 19:30 United States time

Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York prediction

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

Columbus CrewHome
1.99 : 1.27
expected goals
Red Bull New YorkAway
54%Columbus
23%Draw
24%Red Bull NY
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-535

Quick answer

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York is Columbus Crew to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -535.

Prediction
Columbus Crew to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Columbus Crew 2.0, Red Bull New York 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -535
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price -5352 units

Eagle bold pick

Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price +1571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Columbus Crew 54%, the draw 23% and Red Bull New York 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Columbus Crew the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Columbus Crew took 3 points from their last 5 games and Red Bull New York took 2 from 5. Columbus Crew come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Columbus Crew won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Red Bull New York won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Columbus Crew score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. Red Bull New York score 1.4 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Columbus Crew games and 12 of Red Bull New York games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Columbus Crew won 1 and Red Bull New York won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Bull New York 3, Columbus Crew 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York: Columbus Crew are favourites

The big picture

Columbus Crew host Red Bull New York in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York is Columbus Crew to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -535.

Columbus Crew form

Columbus Crew have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Red Bull New York form

Red Bull New York have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Columbus Crew won 1, Red Bull New York won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull New York 3, Columbus Crew 2.

Our call

We expect Columbus Crew to score about 2.0 goals and Red Bull New York about 1.3. That points to Columbus Crew to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -535. Our bold bet is Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.5 at +157.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColumbusRed Bull NY
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws35
Losses1110
Goals scored3128
Goals conceded3543
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.82.1
Home record5W 1D 4L3W 3D 4L
Away record1W 2D 7L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored80%70%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Columbus Crew to win54%-115-135-6.8%
A Draw23%+338+320-4.0%
Red Bull New York to win24%+323+280-10.2%
Over 3.5 goals44%+125+105-8.8%
Under 3.5 goals56%-125-135-3.4%
Columbus Crew -0.554%-116-140-7.9%
Red Bull New York +0.546%+116+100-7.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%-536
Over 2.5 goals63%-173
Over 3.5 goals41%+143
Both teams to score63%-168
Columbus Crew or Draw76%-323
Red Bull New York or Draw46%+115
Columbus Crew to win and Over 2.539%+157
Red Bull New York to win and Over 2.516%+515
Columbus Crew clean sheet28%+257
Red Bull New York clean sheet14%+633

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.6%
2-07.6%
1-07.0%
3-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York is Columbus Crew to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -535.

What is the score prediction for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Columbus Crew to score 2.0 goals and Red Bull New York 1.3.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Columbus Crew last 20 games and 14 of Red Bull New York last 20.

How are Columbus Crew playing?

Columbus Crew have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Red Bull New York playing?

Red Bull New York have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Columbus Crew and Red Bull New York last met?

It ended Red Bull New York 3, Columbus Crew 2. In the last 2 meetings Columbus Crew won 1 and Red Bull New York won 1.

What is the best bet for Columbus Crew vs Red Bull New York?

Over 1.5 goals at -535, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.