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IndiaPredictions › Serie A › Como vs Parma
Como vs Parma prediction
Mon 14 Sept, 16:30 UTC, Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como2.09 - 0.61
expected goals
ParmaComo 71%Draw 19%Parma 9%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
★
Best value
Parma +1.5
⚡
Bold pick
Como to win and Over 2.5
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como to win | 71% | 1.40 | 1.21 | -13.4% |
| A Draw | 19% | 5.15 | 6.00 | +16.6% |
| Parma to win | 9% | 11.00 | 12.00 | +9.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.67 | -15.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 2.20 | +8.3% |
| Como -1.5 | 47% | 2.13 | 1.67 | -21.8% |
| Parma +1.5 | 53% | 1.88 | 2.10 | +11.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.48 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 2.46 |
| Como or Draw | 91% | 1.10 |
| Parma or Draw | 29% | 3.51 |
| Como to win and Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Parma to win and Over 2.5 | 4% | 23.44 |
| Como clean sheet | 54% | 1.84 |
| Parma clean sheet | 12% | 8.12 |
Most likely scores
2-014.7%
1-013.5%
3-010.2%
1-19.1%
2-19.0%
Questions people ask
Who will win Como vs Parma?
Our model gives Como a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Parma 9%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Parma?
We expect about 2.7 goals (Como 2.09, Parma 0.61). Over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance.
Will both teams score in Como vs Parma?
Both teams to score has a 41% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
2-0, with a 14.7% chance, followed by 1-0 and 3-0.