Predictions › Premier League › Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Sun 13 Sept, 16:00 Kenya time, Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City1.11 - 1.70
expected goals
Brighton & Hove AlbionCoventry 24%Draw 25%Brighton 51%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City to win | 24% | 4.15 | 4.00 | -3.6% |
| A Draw | 25% | 3.95 | 3.75 | -5.0% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win | 51% | 1.98 | 1.87 | -5.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.77 | -5.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 | 2.05 | -4.5% |
| Coventry City +0.5 | 49% | 2.02 | 1.91 | -5.6% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 | 51% | 1.98 | 1.80 | -9.0% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.21 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 1.80 |
| Coventry City or Draw | 49% | 2.02 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw | 76% | 1.32 |
| Coventry City to win and Over 2.5 | 14% | 6.93 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.09 |
| Coventry City clean sheet | 18% | 5.50 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet | 33% | 3.04 |
Most likely scores
1-112.0%
1-29.7%
0-19.5%
0-28.7%
0-06.7%
Questions people ask
Who will win Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model gives Coventry City a 24% chance, the draw 25% and Brighton & Hove Albion 51%.
How many goals will there be in Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
We expect about 2.8 goals (Coventry City 1.11, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.70). Over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Both teams to score has a 56% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.0% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.