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Predictions › United States › D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC
MLSSat 12 Sept, 19:30 United States time

D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC prediction

Audi Field

D.C. UnitedHome
1.62 : 1.41
expected goals
Atlanta United FCAway
42%D.C. United
25%Draw
33%Atlanta
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-431

Quick answer

Our prediction for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC is D.C. United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431.

Prediction
D.C. United to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
D.C. United 1.6, Atlanta United FC 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -431
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price -4312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

D.C. United to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price +2531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives D.C. United 42%, the draw 25% and Atlanta United FC 33%. The bookmakers agree and make D.C. United the favourite at +115.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    D.C. United took 5 points from their last 5 games and Atlanta United FC took 7 from 5. Atlanta United FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    D.C. United won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Atlanta United FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    D.C. United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Atlanta United FC score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of D.C. United games and 13 of Atlanta United FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, D.C. United won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Atlanta United FC 0, D.C. United 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC: D.C. United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

D.C. United host Atlanta United FC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 at Audi Field. Our prediction for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC is D.C. United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Atlanta United FC form

Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. D.C. United won 0, Atlanta United FC won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlanta United FC 0, D.C. United 0.

Our call

We expect D.C. United to score about 1.6 goals and Atlanta United FC about 1.4. That points to D.C. United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431. Our bold bet is D.C. United to win and Over 2.5 at +253.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

D.C. UnitedAtlanta
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws104
Losses511
Goals scored2824
Goals conceded3435
Scored per game1.41.2
Conceded per game1.71.8
Home record3W 4D 3L3W 1D 6L
Away record2W 6D 2L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets20%5%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
D.C. United to win42%+139+115-10.2%
A Draw25%+294+270-6.2%
Atlanta United FC to win33%+204+190-4.7%
Over 2.5 goals59%-141-160-4.9%
Under 2.5 goals41%+141+130-4.6%
D.C. United -0.543%+131+110-9.1%
Atlanta United FC +0.557%-131-155-6.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%-432
Over 2.5 goals58%-140
Over 3.5 goals36%+178
Both teams to score61%-158
D.C. United or Draw67%-204
Atlanta United FC or Draw58%-139
D.C. United to win and Over 2.528%+253
Atlanta United FC to win and Over 2.522%+357
D.C. United clean sheet24%+311
Atlanta United FC clean sheet20%+404

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%
1-07.2%
2-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

Our prediction for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC is D.C. United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -431.

What is the score prediction for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect D.C. United to score 1.6 goals and Atlanta United FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of D.C. United last 20 games and 14 of Atlanta United FC last 20.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Atlanta United FC playing?

Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when D.C. United and Atlanta United FC last met?

It ended Atlanta United FC 0, D.C. United 0. In the last 2 meetings D.C. United won 0 and Atlanta United FC won 0.

What is the best bet for D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -431, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.