PredictionsUnited StatesD.C. United vs Charlotte FC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 19:30 United States time

D.C. United vs Charlotte FC prediction

Audi Field

D.C. UnitedHome
1.33 : 1.82
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
27%D.C. United
24%Draw
48%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-485

Quick answer

Our prediction for D.C. United vs Charlotte FC is Charlotte FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -485.

Prediction
Charlotte FC to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
D.C. United 1.3, Charlotte FC 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -485
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4852 units

Eagle bold pick

Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price +1921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives D.C. United 27%, the draw 24% and Charlotte FC 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    D.C. United took 5 points from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 11 from 5. Charlotte FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    D.C. United won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Charlotte FC won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    D.C. United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Charlotte FC score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of D.C. United games and 14 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, D.C. United won 0 and Charlotte FC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Charlotte FC 3, D.C. United 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

D.C. United vs Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC are favourites

The big picture

D.C. United host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 19:30 at Audi Field. Our prediction for D.C. United vs Charlotte FC is Charlotte FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -485.

D.C. United form

D.C. United have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. D.C. United won 0, Charlotte FC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Charlotte FC 3, D.C. United 1.

Our call

We expect D.C. United to score about 1.3 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.8. That points to Charlotte FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -485. Our bold bet is Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.5 at +192.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

D.C. UnitedCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins510
Draws104
Losses56
Goals scored2838
Goals conceded3428
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record3W 4D 3L6W 3D 2L
Away record2W 6D 2L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%-485
Over 2.5 goals61%-157
Over 3.5 goals39%+158
Both teams to score62%-166
D.C. United or Draw52%-106
Charlotte FC or Draw73%-264
D.C. United to win and Over 2.519%+437
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.534%+192
D.C. United clean sheet16%+520
Charlotte FC clean sheet26%+279

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%
1-29.4%
0-17.2%
0-27.1%
2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for D.C. United vs Charlotte FC is Charlotte FC to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -485.

What is the score prediction for D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect D.C. United to score 1.3 goals and Charlotte FC 1.8.

Will both teams score in D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of D.C. United last 20 games and 14 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are D.C. United playing?

D.C. United have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when D.C. United and Charlotte FC last met?

It ended Charlotte FC 3, D.C. United 1. In the last 2 meetings D.C. United won 0 and Charlotte FC won 2.

What is the best bet for D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -485, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.