Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 55.5 points

73% chanceFair price -2751 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Giants to win

41% chancePrice +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives New York Giants 41% and Dallas Cowboys 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Dallas Cowboys the favourite at -162.

2. 2
   Recent form

   New York Giants won 4 of their last 5 and Dallas Cowboys won 3 of their last 5. New York Giants come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   New York Giants won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Dallas Cowboys won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   New York Giants score 22.8 points a game and let in 23.2. Dallas Cowboys score 27.7 and let in 28.1. Their recent games average 46.0 and 55.8 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, New York Giants won 1 and Dallas Cowboys won 1. The last one ended New York Giants 34, Dallas Cowboys 17.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Under 55.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Giants +3.5 wins if Giants win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.