PredictionsUnited StatesDelaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores
College FootballSat 12 Sept, 16:15 United States time

Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores prediction

FirstBank Stadium

Delaware Blue HensAway
17.5 : 37.7
projected points
Vanderbilt CommodoresHome
10%Delaware
90%Vanderbilt
Eagle safe pickDelaware +31
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 90% chance. We project Delaware Blue Hens 17.5 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.7. Our best bet is Delaware +31 at -309.

Prediction
Vanderbilt Commodores to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
Delaware Blue Hens 17, Vanderbilt Commodores 38
Projected total
55.1 points
Best bet
Delaware +31 at -309

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Delaware +31
76% chanceFair price -3092 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vanderbilt Commodores 90% and Delaware Blue Hens 10%. The bookmakers agree and make Vanderbilt Commodores the favourite at -1351.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 4 of their last 5 and Delaware Blue Hens won 3 of their last 5. Vanderbilt Commodores come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vanderbilt Commodores won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Delaware Blue Hens won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vanderbilt Commodores score 36.6 points a game and let in 23.6. Delaware Blue Hens score 31.4 and let in 30.2. Their recent games average 60.2 and 61.6 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Delaware +31 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores: Vanderbilt Commodores are favourites

The big picture

Vanderbilt Commodores host Delaware Blue Hens in the College Football on Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 at FirstBank Stadium. Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 90% chance. We project Delaware Blue Hens 17.5 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.7. Our best bet is Delaware +31 at -309.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 9 wins and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 439 points scored and 283 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Delaware Blue Hens form

Delaware Blue Hens have 7 wins and 5 losses in their last 12 games, with 377 points scored and 362 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Delaware Blue Hens to score about 17.5 points and Vanderbilt Commodores about 37.7. That points to Vanderbilt Commodores to win. Our safest bet is Delaware +31 at -309.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

VanderbiltDelaware
Games played1212
Wins97
Losses35
Points scored439377
Points conceded283362
Scored per game36.631.4
Conceded per game23.630.2
Home record7W 1L6W 1L
Away record2W 2L1W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Vanderbilt to win90%-858-1351-3.8%
Delaware to win10%+858+800-6.1%
Vanderbilt -2148%+109-108-7.6%
Delaware +2152%-109-112-1.5%
Over 54.5 points52%-107-115-3.5%
Under 54.5 points48%+107-105-5.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Vanderbilt spreadCoversFair
Vanderbilt -27.532%+209
Vanderbilt -23.542%+139
Vanderbilt -20.549%+103
Vanderbilt -17.557%-131
Vanderbilt -13.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Vanderbilt +3.5 wins if Vanderbilt win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Our prediction for Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores is Vanderbilt Commodores to win, with a 90% chance. We project Delaware Blue Hens 17.5 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.7. Our best bet is Delaware +31 at -309.

What is the projected score for Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

We project Delaware Blue Hens 17.5 and Vanderbilt Commodores 37.7, about 55.1 points in total.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 9 wins and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 439 points scored and 283 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Delaware Blue Hens playing?

Delaware Blue Hens have 7 wins and 5 losses in their last 12 games, with 377 points scored and 362 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 4 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Delaware Blue Hens vs Vanderbilt Commodores?

Delaware +31 at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.