Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús

Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 14 Sept, 22:00 UTC

Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús prediction

Guillermo Laza

Deportivo RiestraHome

0.92 : 0.85

expected goals

LanúsAway

34%Riestra

35%Draw

31%Lanús

Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals

1.36

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús is a draw, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36.

Prediction: A draw
Chance: 35%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Deportivo Riestra 0.9, Lanús 0.8
Best bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.36
Both teams to score: 35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals

74% chanceFair price 1.361 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Riestra to win

34% chancePrice 2.95+1.5% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportivo Riestra 34%, the draw 35% and Lanús 31%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Lanús the favourite at 2.75, so take care with this one.
2
Recent form
Deportivo Riestra took 6 points from their last 5 games and Lanús took 7 from 5. Lanús come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Deportivo Riestra won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Lanús won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportivo Riestra score 0.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Lanús score 0.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Deportivo Riestra games and 6 of Lanús games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Riestra won 0 and Lanús won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Lanús 0, Deportivo Riestra 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Riestra host Lanús in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 14 Sept, 22:00 at Guillermo Laza. Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús is a draw, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36.

Deportivo Riestra form

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Lanús form

Lanús have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Riestra won 0, Lanús won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Lanús 0, Deportivo Riestra 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Riestra to score about 0.9 goals and Lanús about 0.8. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36. Our bold bet is Deportivo Riestra to win at 2.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Riestra	Lanús
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	7
Draws	10	5
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	12	18
Goals conceded	15	17
Scored per game	0.6	0.9
Conceded per game	0.8	0.8
Home record	3W 6D 2L	4W 4D 3L
Away record	0W 4D 5L	3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	45%	50%
Both teams scored	25%	25%
Over 2.5 goals	10%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Deportivo Riestra to win	34%	2.91	2.95	+1.5%
A Draw	35%	2.88	2.70	-6.2%
Lanús to win	31%	3.24	2.75	-15.2%
Over 1.5 goals	54%	1.84	1.69	-7.9%
Under 1.5 goals	46%	2.20	2.05	-6.7%
Deportivo Riestra +0.5	66%	1.52	1.43	-6.4%
Lanús -0.5	34%	2.91	2.55	-12.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	54%	1.86
Over 2.5 goals	26%	3.81
Over 3.5 goals	10%	9.56
Both teams to score	35%	2.83
Deportivo Riestra or Draw	69%	1.45
Lanús or Draw	66%	1.52
Deportivo Riestra to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.04
Lanús to win and Over 2.5	11%	9.13
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet	43%	2.35
Lanús clean sheet	40%	2.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-017.8%

1-014.8%

1-114.1%

0-113.7%

2-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús?

Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús is a draw, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.36.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Deportivo Riestra to score 0.9 goals and Lanús 0.8.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Deportivo Riestra last 20 games and 5 of Lanús last 20.

How are Deportivo Riestra playing?

How are Lanús playing?

What happened when Deportivo Riestra and Lanús last met?

It ended Lanús 0, Deportivo Riestra 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Riestra won 0 and Lanús won 0.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanús?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.36, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.