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Deportivo vs Sevilla prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 17:00 UTC, Riazor
Deportivo1.29 - 1.11
expected goals
SevillaDeportivo 40%Draw 29%Sevilla 31%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Under 3.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Correct score 1-1
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo to win | 40% | 2.53 | 2.45 | -3.0% |
| A Draw | 29% | 3.44 | 3.05 | -11.3% |
| Sevilla to win | 31% | 3.19 | 3.10 | -2.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.25 | -3.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.63 | -7.4% |
| Deportivo -0.5 | 40% | 2.53 | 2.30 | -9.0% |
| Sevilla +0.5 | 60% | 1.65 | 1.51 | -8.6% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 2.02 |
| Deportivo or Draw | 69% | 1.46 |
| Sevilla or Draw | 60% | 1.65 |
| Deportivo to win and Over 2.5 | 21% | 4.72 |
| Sevilla to win and Over 2.5 | 16% | 6.11 |
| Deportivo clean sheet | 33% | 3.05 |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 28% | 3.62 |
Most likely scores
1-113.8%
1-010.9%
0-09.9%
0-19.3%
2-18.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win Deportivo vs Sevilla?
Our model gives Deportivo a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Sevilla 31%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.4 goals (Deportivo 1.29, Sevilla 1.11). Over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance.
Will both teams score in Deportivo vs Sevilla?
Both teams to score has a 49% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 13.8% chance, followed by 1-0 and 0-0.