Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Over 6.5 runs

69% chanceFair price -2231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Chicago White Sox 55% and Detroit Tigers 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Chicago White Sox won 1 of their last 5 and Detroit Tigers won 3 of their last 5. Detroit Tigers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Chicago White Sox won 6 of their last 13 games at home. Detroit Tigers won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Chicago White Sox score 4.0 runs a game and let in 4.4. Detroit Tigers score 3.4 and let in 4.8. Their recent games average 8.4 and 8.1 runs in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Chicago White Sox won 3 and Detroit Tigers won 2. The last one ended Detroit Tigers 5, Chicago White Sox 7.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 6.5 runs has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. White Sox +3.5 wins if White Sox win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.