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Predictions › United Kingdom › Dundee vs Motherwell
Scottish PremiershipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Dundee vs Motherwell prediction

The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park

DundeeHome
1.49 : 1.45
expected goals
MotherwellAway
38%Dundee
26%Draw
36%Motherwell
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell is Dundee to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Dundee to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dundee 1.5, Motherwell 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 15/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dundee 38%, the draw 26% and Motherwell 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dundee took 7 points from their last 5 games and Motherwell took 8 from 5. Motherwell come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dundee won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Motherwell won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dundee score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.5. Motherwell score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Dundee games and 10 of Motherwell games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Dundee won 1 and Motherwell won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Dundee 2, Motherwell 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Dundee vs Motherwell: Dundee shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dundee host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park. Our prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell is Dundee to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Dundee form

Dundee have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Motherwell form

Motherwell have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dundee won 1, Motherwell won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Dundee 2, Motherwell 1.

Our call

We expect Dundee to score about 1.5 goals and Motherwell about 1.4. That points to Dundee to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 15/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DundeeMotherwell
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws55
Losses87
Goals scored3032
Goals conceded3024
Scored per game1.51.6
Conceded per game1.51.2
Home record5W 4D 2L3W 4D 2L
Away record2W 1D 6L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score60%4/6
Dundee or Draw64%4/7
Motherwell or Draw62%8/13
Dundee to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Motherwell to win and Over 2.524%10/3
Dundee clean sheet24%10/3
Motherwell clean sheet23%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-07.2%
0-17.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dundee vs Motherwell?

Our prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell is Dundee to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Dundee vs Motherwell?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Dundee to score 1.5 goals and Motherwell 1.4.

Will both teams score in Dundee vs Motherwell?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Dundee last 20 games and 10 of Motherwell last 20.

How are Dundee playing?

Dundee have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Motherwell playing?

Motherwell have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Dundee and Motherwell last met?

It ended Dundee 2, Motherwell 1. In the last 3 meetings Dundee won 1 and Motherwell won 1.

What is the best bet for Dundee vs Motherwell?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.