Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Wisconsin +8.5

74% chanceFair price -2891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Wisconsin Badgers 55% and Eastern Michigan Eagles 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Wisconsin Badgers won 2 of their last 5 and Eastern Michigan Eagles won 3 of their last 5. Eastern Michigan Eagles come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Wisconsin Badgers won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Eastern Michigan Eagles won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Wisconsin Badgers score 9.8 points a game and let in 26.4. Eastern Michigan Eagles score 24.0 and let in 26.8. Their recent games average 36.2 and 50.8 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Wisconsin +8.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wisconsin +3.5 wins if Wisconsin win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.