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Predictions › Bundesliga › Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 13:30 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction

Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht FrankfurtHome
1.60 : 1.45
expected goals
SC FreiburgAway
41%Frankfurt
25%Draw
34%Freiburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1.6, SC Freiburg 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 41%, the draw 25% and SC Freiburg 34%. The bookmakers agree and make Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 2.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eintracht Frankfurt took 2 points from their last 5 games and SC Freiburg took 9 from 5. SC Freiburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eintracht Frankfurt won 3 of their last 11 games at home. SC Freiburg won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eintracht Frankfurt score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. SC Freiburg score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt games and 14 of SC Freiburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1 and SC Freiburg won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2, SC Freiburg 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg: Eintracht Frankfurt shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eintracht Frankfurt host SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Sat 19 Sept, 13:30 at Deutsche Bank Park. Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Eintracht Frankfurt form

Eintracht Frankfurt have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

SC Freiburg form

SC Freiburg have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eintracht Frankfurt won 1, SC Freiburg won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Eintracht Frankfurt 2, SC Freiburg 0.

Our call

We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to score about 1.6 goals and SC Freiburg about 1.4. That points to Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5 at 3.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FrankfurtFreiburg
Games played2020
Wins410
Draws62
Losses108
Goals scored2937
Goals conceded3830
Scored per game1.41.9
Conceded per game1.91.5
Home record3W 2D 6L6W 2D 3L
Away record1W 4D 4L4W 0D 5L
Clean sheets20%15%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Eintracht Frankfurt to win41%2.462.25-8.4%
A Draw25%3.953.65-7.7%
SC Freiburg to win34%2.942.70-8.2%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.492.25-9.8%
Under 3.5 goals60%1.671.61-3.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.542%2.382.15-9.8%
SC Freiburg +0.558%1.721.59-7.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.74
Both teams to score62%1.62
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw66%1.52
SC Freiburg or Draw59%1.69
Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.528%3.61
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.523%4.37
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet23%4.26
SC Freiburg clean sheet20%4.97

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-18.8%
1-28.0%
1-06.9%
2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to score 1.6 goals and SC Freiburg 1.4.

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Eintracht Frankfurt last 20 games and 12 of SC Freiburg last 20.

How are Eintracht Frankfurt playing?

Eintracht Frankfurt have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are SC Freiburg playing?

SC Freiburg have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg last met?

It ended Eintracht Frankfurt 2, SC Freiburg 0. In the last 2 meetings Eintracht Frankfurt won 1 and SC Freiburg won 0.

What is the best bet for Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.