Predictions › LaLiga › Elche vs Real Madrid
Elche vs Real Madrid prediction
Tue 15 Sept, 19:30 UTC, Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche0.88 - 2.19
expected goals
Real MadridElche 13%Draw 20%Real Madrid 67%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Under 3.5 goals
★
Best value
Elche +1.5
⚡
Bold pick
Real Madrid to win and both score
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche to win | 13% | 7.53 | 9.50 | +26.2% |
| A Draw | 20% | 5.00 | 5.50 | +10.0% |
| Real Madrid to win | 67% | 1.50 | 1.30 | -13.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | 1.91 | -29.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.87 | +18.0% |
| Elche +1.5 | 56% | 1.77 | 1.91 | +7.7% |
| Real Madrid -1.5 | 44% | 2.29 | 1.74 | -24.1% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.90 |
| Elche or Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Real Madrid or Draw | 87% | 1.15 |
| Elche to win and Over 2.5 | 8% | 12.59 |
| Real Madrid to win and Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Elche clean sheet | 11% | 8.95 |
| Real Madrid clean sheet | 41% | 2.41 |
Most likely scores
0-211.1%
1-29.8%
0-19.6%
1-19.5%
0-38.1%
Questions people ask
Who will win Elche vs Real Madrid?
Our model gives Elche a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Real Madrid 67%.
How many goals will there be in Elche vs Real Madrid?
We expect about 3.1 goals (Elche 0.88, Real Madrid 2.19). Over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance.
Will both teams score in Elche vs Real Madrid?
Both teams to score has a 53% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
0-2, with a 11.1% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.
