PredictionsLaLigaElche vs Real Madrid
LaLiga

Elche vs Real Madrid prediction

Tue 15 Sept, 19:30 UTC, Estadio Martínez Valero

Elche
0.88 - 2.19
expected goals
Real Madrid
Elche 13%Draw 20%Real Madrid 67%

Our three picks

Safest pick

Under 3.5 goals
63% chancePrice 1.87+18.0% value3 units

Best value

Elche +1.5
56% chancePrice 1.91+7.7% value2 units

Bold pick

Real Madrid to win and both score
30% chanceFair price 3.291 unit

Price check against DraftKings

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Elche to win13%7.539.50+26.2%
A Draw20%5.005.50+10.0%
Real Madrid to win67%1.501.30-13.1%
Over 3.5 goals37%2.711.91-29.6%
Under 3.5 goals63%1.581.87+18.0%
Elche +1.556%1.771.91+7.7%
Real Madrid -1.544%2.291.74-24.1%

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.71
Both teams to score53%1.90
Elche or Draw33%3.00
Real Madrid or Draw87%1.15
Elche to win and Over 2.58%12.59
Real Madrid to win and Over 2.546%2.18
Elche clean sheet11%8.95
Real Madrid clean sheet41%2.41

Most likely scores

0-211.1%
1-29.8%
0-19.6%
1-19.5%
0-38.1%

Questions people ask

Who will win Elche vs Real Madrid?

Our model gives Elche a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Real Madrid 67%.

How many goals will there be in Elche vs Real Madrid?

We expect about 3.1 goals (Elche 0.88, Real Madrid 2.19). Over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance.

Will both teams score in Elche vs Real Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

0-2, with a 11.1% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.