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Predictions › Super Lig › Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor
Super LigSun 20 Sept, 14:00 UTC

Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor prediction

Erzurum Kazim Karabekir

Erzurum BBHome
1.26 : 1.51
expected goals
SamsunsporAway
31%Erzurum
27%Draw
42%Samsunspor
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor is Samsunspor to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Samsunspor to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Erzurum BB 1.3, Samsunspor 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Samsunspor to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.771 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Erzurum BB 31%, the draw 27% and Samsunspor 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Erzurum BB took 4 points from their last 5 games and Samsunspor took 7 from 5. Samsunspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Erzurum BB score 0.4 goals a game and let in 2.2. Samsunspor score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Erzurum BB games and 13 of Samsunspor games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor: Samsunspor shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Erzurum BB host Samsunspor in the Super Lig on Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 at Erzurum Kazim Karabekir. Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor is Samsunspor to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Erzurum BB form

Erzurum BB have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Erzurum BB to score about 1.3 goals and Samsunspor about 1.5. That points to Samsunspor to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Samsunspor to win and Over 2.5 at 3.77.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ErzurumSamsunspor
Games played520
Wins110
Draws14
Losses36
Goals scored233
Goals conceded1127
Scored per game0.41.6
Conceded per game2.21.4
Home record1W 0D 1L5W 3D 2L
Away record0W 1D 2L5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored20%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.33
Both teams to score56%1.77
Erzurum BB or Draw58%1.74
Samsunspor or Draw69%1.45
Erzurum BB to win and Over 2.519%5.34
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.527%3.77
Erzurum BB clean sheet22%4.53
Samsunspor clean sheet28%3.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-29.0%
0-18.8%
2-17.5%
1-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?

Our prediction for Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor is Samsunspor to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Erzurum BB to score 1.3 goals and Samsunspor 1.5.

Will both teams score in Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Erzurum BB last 5 games and 10 of Samsunspor last 20.

How are Erzurum BB playing?

Erzurum BB have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Erzurum BB vs Samsunspor?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.