Predictions › LaLiga › Espanyol vs Elche

LaLigaFri 18 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Espanyol vs Elche prediction

RCDE Stadium

EspanyolHome

1.53 : 1.16

expected goals

ElcheAway

45%Espanyol

27%Draw

28%Elche

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Espanyol vs Elche is Espanyol to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Espanyol to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Espanyol 1.5, Elche 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Espanyol to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Espanyol 45%, the draw 27% and Elche 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Espanyol took 5 points from their last 5 games and Elche took 2 from 5. Espanyol come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Espanyol won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Elche won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Espanyol score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Elche score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Espanyol games and 13 of Elche games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Espanyol won 1 and Elche won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Elche 2, Espanyol 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Espanyol vs Elche: Espanyol are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Espanyol host Elche in the LaLiga on Fri 18 Sept, 19:00 at RCDE Stadium. Our prediction for Espanyol vs Elche is Espanyol to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Espanyol form

Espanyol have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Elche form

Elche have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Espanyol won 1, Elche won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Elche 2, Espanyol 2.

Our call

We expect Espanyol to score about 1.5 goals and Elche about 1.2. That points to Espanyol to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Espanyol to win and Over 2.5 at 3.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Espanyol	Elche
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	5
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	10
Goals scored	23	24
Goals conceded	33	37
Scored per game	1.1	1.2
Conceded per game	1.6	1.9
Home record	2W 5D 3L	4W 3D 2L
Away record	1W 2D 7L	1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	70%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.32
Over 2.5 goals	50%	1.99
Over 3.5 goals	28%	3.53
Both teams to score	54%	1.84
Espanyol or Draw	72%	1.39
Elche or Draw	55%	1.82
Espanyol to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.64
Elche to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.12
Espanyol clean sheet	31%	3.18
Elche clean sheet	22%	4.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%

1-09.7%

2-19.2%

2-08.0%

0-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Espanyol vs Elche?

Our prediction for Espanyol vs Elche is Espanyol to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Espanyol vs Elche?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Espanyol to score 1.5 goals and Elche 1.2.

Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Elche?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Espanyol last 20 games and 15 of Elche last 20.

How are Espanyol playing?

How are Elche playing?

What happened when Espanyol and Elche last met?

It ended Elche 2, Espanyol 2. In the last 2 meetings Espanyol won 1 and Elche won 0.

What is the best bet for Espanyol vs Elche?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.