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Predictions › Primeira Liga › Estoril vs Casa Pia
Primeira LigaSun 20 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

EstorilHome
1.39 : 0.80
expected goals
Casa PiaAway
50%Estoril
29%Draw
21%Casa Pia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estoril vs Casa Pia is Estoril to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Estoril to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Estoril 1.4, Casa Pia 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estoril 50%, the draw 29% and Casa Pia 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estoril took 2 points from their last 5 games and Casa Pia took 1 from 5. Estoril come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estoril won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Casa Pia won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estoril score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Casa Pia score 0.6 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Estoril games and 6 of Casa Pia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Estoril won 0 and Casa Pia won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Estoril 0, Casa Pia 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Estoril vs Casa Pia: Estoril are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Estoril host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Our prediction for Estoril vs Casa Pia is Estoril to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Estoril form

Estoril have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Casa Pia form

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Estoril won 0, Casa Pia won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estoril 0, Casa Pia 0.

Our call

We expect Estoril to score about 1.4 goals and Casa Pia about 0.8. That points to Estoril to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EstorilCasa Pia
Games played2020
Wins33
Draws67
Losses1110
Goals scored1911
Goals conceded3330
Scored per game0.90.6
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record1W 4D 5L2W 4D 4L
Away record2W 2D 6L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets15%25%
Both teams scored55%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.68
Over 3.5 goals18%5.63
Both teams to score42%2.38
Estoril or Draw79%1.26
Casa Pia or Draw50%2.01
Estoril to win and Over 2.524%4.09
Casa Pia to win and Over 2.59%11.14
Estoril clean sheet45%2.22
Casa Pia clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.9%
1-113.2%
0-012.0%
2-010.8%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Our prediction for Estoril vs Casa Pia is Estoril to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Estoril vs Casa Pia?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Estoril to score 1.4 goals and Casa Pia 0.8.

Will both teams score in Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Estoril last 20 games and 7 of Casa Pia last 20.

How are Estoril playing?

Estoril have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Casa Pia playing?

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Estoril and Casa Pia last met?

It ended Estoril 0, Casa Pia 0. In the last 2 meetings Estoril won 0 and Casa Pia won 0.

What is the best bet for Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.