EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › Primeira Liga › Estrela vs Académico de Viseu
Primeira LigaSun 20 Sept, 14:30 UTC

Estrela vs Académico de Viseu prediction

Estádio José Gomes

EstrelaHome
1.52 : 1.41
expected goals
Académico de ViseuAway
39%Estrela
26%Draw
35%Académico
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estrela vs Académico de Viseu is Estrela to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Estrela to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Estrela 1.5, Académico de Viseu 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Estrela to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estrela 39%, the draw 26% and Académico de Viseu 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estrela took 9 points from their last 5 games and Académico de Viseu took 5 from 5. Estrela come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estrela won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Académico de Viseu won 1 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estrela score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Académico de Viseu score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Estrela games and 3 of Académico de Viseu games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Estrela vs Académico de Viseu: Estrela shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Estrela host Académico de Viseu in the Primeira Liga on Sun 20 Sept, 14:30 at Estádio José Gomes. Our prediction for Estrela vs Académico de Viseu is Estrela to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Estrela form

Estrela have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Académico de Viseu form

Académico de Viseu have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Estrela to score about 1.5 goals and Académico de Viseu about 1.4. That points to Estrela to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Estrela to win and Over 2.5 at 3.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EstrelaAcadémico
Games played205
Wins41
Draws82
Losses82
Goals scored265
Goals conceded298
Scored per game1.31.0
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record3W 4D 3L0W 0D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L1W 2D 0L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%2.97
Both teams to score60%1.67
Estrela or Draw65%1.53
Académico de Viseu or Draw61%1.65
Estrela to win and Over 2.526%3.89
Académico de Viseu to win and Over 2.523%4.44
Estrela clean sheet24%4.11
Académico de Viseu clean sheet22%4.55

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-18.7%
1-28.1%
1-07.4%
0-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?

Our prediction for Estrela vs Académico de Viseu is Estrela to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Estrela to score 1.5 goals and Académico de Viseu 1.4.

Will both teams score in Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Estrela last 20 games and 2 of Académico de Viseu last 5.

How are Estrela playing?

Estrela have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Académico de Viseu playing?

Académico de Viseu have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Estrela vs Académico de Viseu?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.