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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 12 Sept, 17:45 UTC

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense prediction

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi

Estudiantes de La PlataHome
1.33 : 0.73
expected goals
PlatenseAway
50%Estudiantes
30%Draw
20%Platense
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Estudiantes de La Plata to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Estudiantes de La Plata 1.3, Platense 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estudiantes de La Plata 50%, the draw 30% and Platense 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Estudiantes de La Plata the favourite at 1.87.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estudiantes de La Plata took 4 points from their last 5 games and Platense took 8 from 5. Platense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estudiantes de La Plata won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Platense won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 goals a game and let in 0.7. Platense score 0.7 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Estudiantes de La Plata games and 5 of Platense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 and Platense won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Platense 0, Estudiantes de La Plata 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense: Estudiantes de La Plata are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Estudiantes de La Plata host Platense in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 12 Sept, 17:45 at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Platense form

Platense have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Estudiantes de La Plata won 1, Platense won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Platense 0, Estudiantes de La Plata 2.

Our call

We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to score about 1.3 goals and Platense about 0.7. That points to Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.17.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EstudiantesPlatense
Games played2020
Wins93
Draws29
Losses98
Goals scored2214
Goals conceded1424
Scored per game1.10.7
Conceded per game0.71.2
Home record5W 2D 4L1W 5D 4L
Away record4W 0D 5L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets45%30%
Both teams scored10%40%
Over 2.5 goals25%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Estudiantes de La Plata to win50%1.981.87-5.7%
A Draw30%3.343.20-4.3%
Platense to win20%5.084.70-7.5%
Over 1.5 goals61%1.631.53-6.4%
Under 1.5 goals39%2.592.40-7.2%
Estudiantes de La Plata -0.551%1.951.80-7.9%
Platense +0.549%2.051.91-6.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.62
Over 2.5 goals34%2.94
Over 3.5 goals15%6.48
Both teams to score39%2.57
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw80%1.24
Platense or Draw50%2.02
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.523%4.37
Platense to win and Over 2.58%12.85
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet48%2.07
Platense clean sheet26%3.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.2%
0-013.5%
1-113.1%
2-011.3%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense?

Our prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense is Estudiantes de La Plata to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to score 1.3 goals and Platense 0.7.

Will both teams score in Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20 games and 8 of Platense last 20.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Platense playing?

Platense have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Estudiantes de La Plata and Platense last met?

It ended Platense 0, Estudiantes de La Plata 2. In the last 1 meeting Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 and Platense won 0.

What is the best bet for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Platense?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.