PredictionsUnited KingdomEverton vs Ipswich Town
Premier LeagueSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Everton vs Ipswich Town prediction

Hill Dickinson Stadium

EvertonHome
1.71 : 1.05
expected goals
Ipswich TownAway
52%Everton
25%Draw
23%Ipswich
Eagle safe pickEverton or Draw
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Everton vs Ipswich Town is Everton to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 2/7.

Prediction
Everton to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Everton 1.7, Ipswich Town 1.1
Best bet
Everton or Draw at 2/7
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Everton or Draw
77% chanceFair price 2/72 units

Eagle bold pick

Everton to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 2/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Everton 52%, the draw 25% and Ipswich Town 23%. The bookmakers agree and make Everton the favourite at 4/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Everton took 8 points from their last 5 games and Ipswich Town took 9 from 5. Ipswich Town come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Everton won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Ipswich Town won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Everton score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Ipswich Town score 1.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Everton games and 11 of Ipswich Town games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Everton or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton are favourites

The big picture

Everton host Ipswich Town in the Premier League on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Our prediction for Everton vs Ipswich Town is Everton to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 2/7.

Everton form

Everton have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Ipswich Town form

Ipswich Town have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Everton to score about 1.7 goals and Ipswich Town about 1.1. That points to Everton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Everton or Draw at 2/7. Our bold bet is Everton to win and Over 2.5 at 2/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EvertonIpswich
Games played2020
Wins610
Draws76
Losses74
Goals scored3236
Goals conceded2827
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record3W 3D 4L6W 3D 1L
Away record3W 4D 3L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Everton to win52%10/114/5-6.1%
A Draw25%3/111/4-6.6%
Ipswich Town to win23%7/210/3-5.1%
Over 2.5 goals52%10/114/5-6.2%
Under 2.5 goals48%11/1010/11-6.5%
Everton -0.553%10/118/11-9.3%
Ipswich Town +0.547%11/1010/11-8.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals52%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%9/4
Both teams to score54%5/6
Everton or Draw77%2/7
Ipswich Town or Draw48%11/10
Everton to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Ipswich Town to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Everton clean sheet35%15/8
Ipswich Town clean sheet18%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-010.1%
2-19.7%
2-09.2%
0-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Everton vs Ipswich Town?

Our prediction for Everton vs Ipswich Town is Everton to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Everton vs Ipswich Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Everton to score 1.7 goals and Ipswich Town 1.1.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Ipswich Town?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Everton last 20 games and 11 of Ipswich Town last 20.

How are Everton playing?

Everton have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Ipswich Town playing?

Ipswich Town have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Ipswich Town?

Everton or Draw at 2/7, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.