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Predictions › United Kingdom › Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Carabao CupWed 16 Sept, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction

Hill Dickinson Stadium

EvertonHome
1.83 : 0.98
expected goals
Wolverhampton WanderersAway
57%Everton
24%Draw
19%Wolves
Eagle safe pickEverton or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Everton to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Everton to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Everton 1.8, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.0
Best bet
Everton or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Everton or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Everton to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Everton 57%, the draw 24% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Everton the favourite at 4/7.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Everton took 8 points from their last 5 games and Wolverhampton Wanderers took 10 from 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Everton won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Everton score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Everton games and 12 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Everton won 0 and Wolverhampton Wanderers won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Everton 1, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Everton or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Everton are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Everton host Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Carabao Cup on Wed 16 Sept, 19:45 at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Our prediction for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Everton to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4.

Everton form

Everton have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Everton won 0, Wolverhampton Wanderers won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Everton 1, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.

Our call

We expect Everton to score about 1.8 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers about 1.0. That points to Everton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Everton to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EvertonWolves
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws78
Losses76
Goals scored3229
Goals conceded2830
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 4D 1L
Away record3W 4D 3L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Everton to win57%4/54/7-10.1%
A Draw24%3/13/1-6.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win19%4/14/1-5.3%
Over 2.5 goals53%10/118/11-7.0%
Under 2.5 goals47%11/10Evens-6.8%
Everton -0.558%8/114/7-9.2%
Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.542%7/55/4-6.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%2/7
Over 2.5 goals53%10/11
Over 3.5 goals31%11/5
Both teams to score53%10/11
Everton or Draw81%1/4
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw43%5/4
Everton to win and Over 2.536%7/4
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.511%8/1
Everton clean sheet37%13/8
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet16%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
1-010.4%
2-010.1%
2-19.9%
0-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Our prediction for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Everton to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Everton to score 1.8 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.0.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Everton last 20 games and 11 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20.

How are Everton playing?

Everton have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Everton and Wolverhampton Wanderers last met?

It ended Everton 1, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1. In the last 2 meetings Everton won 0 and Wolverhampton Wanderers won 1.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Everton or Draw at 1/4, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.