EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › J1 League › Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga
J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept, 10:00 UTC

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga prediction

City Light Stadium

Fagiano OkayamaHome
1.25 : 0.83
expected goals
Kyoto SangaAway
45%Okayama
31%Draw
24%Kyoto Sanga
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga is Fagiano Okayama to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Fagiano Okayama to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Fagiano Okayama 1.3, Kyoto Sanga 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fagiano Okayama 45%, the draw 31% and Kyoto Sanga 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fagiano Okayama took 10 points from their last 5 games and Kyoto Sanga took 4 from 5. Fagiano Okayama come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fagiano Okayama won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Kyoto Sanga won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Fagiano Okayama games and 11 of Kyoto Sanga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Fagiano Okayama won 1 and Kyoto Sanga won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kyoto Sanga 5, Fagiano Okayama 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga: Fagiano Okayama are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fagiano Okayama host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 at City Light Stadium. Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga is Fagiano Okayama to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Fagiano Okayama form

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Kyoto Sanga form

Kyoto Sanga have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fagiano Okayama won 1, Kyoto Sanga won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kyoto Sanga 5, Fagiano Okayama 1.

Our call

We expect Fagiano Okayama to score about 1.3 goals and Kyoto Sanga about 0.8. That points to Fagiano Okayama to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OkayamaKyoto Sanga
Games played2020
Wins94
Draws45
Losses711
Goals scored2922
Goals conceded2739
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record5W 2D 3L3W 2D 5L
Away record4W 2D 4L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.61
Over 2.5 goals34%2.91
Over 3.5 goals16%6.39
Both teams to score41%2.45
Fagiano Okayama or Draw76%1.31
Kyoto Sanga or Draw55%1.83
Fagiano Okayama to win and Over 2.521%4.83
Kyoto Sanga to win and Over 2.510%10.09
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet44%2.29
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.9%
1-113.7%
0-013.3%
2-09.8%
0-19.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga is Fagiano Okayama to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Fagiano Okayama to score 1.3 goals and Kyoto Sanga 0.8.

Will both teams score in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Fagiano Okayama last 20 games and 12 of Kyoto Sanga last 20.

How are Fagiano Okayama playing?

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Kyoto Sanga playing?

Kyoto Sanga have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Fagiano Okayama and Kyoto Sanga last met?

It ended Kyoto Sanga 5, Fagiano Okayama 1. In the last 2 meetings Fagiano Okayama won 1 and Kyoto Sanga won 1.

What is the best bet for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.