PredictionsBundesligaFC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 16:30 Kenya time, WWK Arena

FC Augsburg
1.40 - 1.82
expected goals
Bayer Leverkusen
Augsburg 29%Draw 24%Leverkusen 47%

Our three picks

Safest pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

Best value

FC Augsburg +0.5
53% chancePrice 2.00+6.4% value2 units

Bold pick

FC Augsburg to win
29% chancePrice 3.75+9.4% value2 units

Price check against DraftKings

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Augsburg to win29%3.433.75+9.4%
A Draw24%4.164.00-3.9%
Bayer Leverkusen to win47%2.141.74-18.5%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.482.00-19.3%
Under 3.5 goals60%1.681.77+5.5%
FC Augsburg +0.553%1.882.00+6.4%
Bayer Leverkusen -0.547%2.141.74-18.5%

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.48
Both teams to score64%1.57
FC Augsburg or Draw53%1.88
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw71%1.41
FC Augsburg to win and Over 2.520%4.93
Bayer Leverkusen to win and Over 2.534%2.98
FC Augsburg clean sheet16%6.18
Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet25%4.07

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-29.3%
2-17.1%
0-16.6%
0-26.6%

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model gives FC Augsburg a 29% chance, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 47%.

How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We expect about 3.2 goals (FC Augsburg 1.40, Bayer Leverkusen 1.82). Over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance.

Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

1-1, with a 10.8% chance, followed by 1-2 and 2-1.