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Predictions › United States › FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC
MLSSat 12 Sept, 19:30 United States time

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC prediction

TQL Stadium

FC CincinnatiHome
1.97 : 1.62
expected goals
Charlotte FCAway
46%Cincinnati
23%Draw
32%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
-229

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC is FC Cincinnati to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -229.

Prediction
FC Cincinnati to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Cincinnati 2.0, Charlotte FC 1.6
Best bet
Both teams to score at -229
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
70% chanceFair price -2291 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price +1831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Cincinnati 46%, the draw 23% and Charlotte FC 32%. The bookmakers agree and make FC Cincinnati the favourite at +105.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Cincinnati took 5 points from their last 5 games and Charlotte FC took 11 from 5. Charlotte FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Cincinnati won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Charlotte FC won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Cincinnati score 2.4 goals a game and let in 2.7. Charlotte FC score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of FC Cincinnati games and 14 of Charlotte FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Cincinnati won 0 and Charlotte FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Charlotte FC 2, FC Cincinnati 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC: FC Cincinnati are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Cincinnati host Charlotte FC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 at TQL Stadium. Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC is FC Cincinnati to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -229.

FC Cincinnati form

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Charlotte FC form

Charlotte FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Cincinnati won 0, Charlotte FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Charlotte FC 2, FC Cincinnati 2.

Our call

We expect FC Cincinnati to score about 2.0 goals and Charlotte FC about 1.6. That points to FC Cincinnati to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at -229. Our bold bet is FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.5 at +183.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CincinnatiCharlotte
Games played2020
Wins710
Draws74
Losses66
Goals scored4738
Goals conceded5428
Scored per game2.41.9
Conceded per game2.71.4
Home record6W 2D 1L6W 3D 2L
Away record1W 5D 5L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets5%20%
Both teams scored85%70%
Over 2.5 goals80%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Cincinnati to win46%+119+105-6.5%
A Draw23%+340+300-9.2%
Charlotte FC to win32%+216+190-8.1%
Over 3.5 goals49%+103-110-6.2%
Under 3.5 goals51%-103-115-4.9%
FC Cincinnati -0.546%+117+100-8.0%
Charlotte FC +0.554%-117-140-7.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%-726
Over 2.5 goals70%-229
Over 3.5 goals48%+107
Both teams to score70%-229
FC Cincinnati or Draw68%-216
Charlotte FC or Draw54%-119
FC Cincinnati to win and Over 2.535%+182
Charlotte FC to win and Over 2.524%+315
FC Cincinnati clean sheet20%+407
Charlotte FC clean sheet14%+617

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.3%
2-18.7%
1-27.1%
2-27.0%
3-15.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC is FC Cincinnati to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at -229.

What is the score prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect FC Cincinnati to score 2.0 goals and Charlotte FC 1.6.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of FC Cincinnati last 20 games and 14 of Charlotte FC last 20.

How are FC Cincinnati playing?

FC Cincinnati have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Charlotte FC playing?

Charlotte FC have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when FC Cincinnati and Charlotte FC last met?

It ended Charlotte FC 2, FC Cincinnati 2. In the last 1 meeting FC Cincinnati won 0 and Charlotte FC won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

Both teams to score at -229, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.