Predictions › Bundesliga › FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen
FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 19:30 Kenya time, RheinEnergieStadion
FC Cologne1.67 - 1.29
expected goals
Werder BremenCologne 46%Draw 25%Bremen 29%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Under 3.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
FC Cologne to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cologne to win | 46% | 2.20 | 2.05 | -6.6% |
| A Draw | 25% | 3.95 | 3.60 | -8.8% |
| Werder Bremen to win | 29% | 3.44 | 3.20 | -6.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.90 | 2.40 | -17.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 | 1.57 | +3.0% |
| FC Cologne -0.5 | 46% | 2.20 | 2.00 | -8.9% |
| Werder Bremen +0.5 | 54% | 1.84 | 1.71 | -6.7% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.68 |
| FC Cologne or Draw | 71% | 1.41 |
| Werder Bremen or Draw | 54% | 1.84 |
| FC Cologne to win and Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.29 |
| Werder Bremen to win and Over 2.5 | 19% | 5.33 |
| FC Cologne clean sheet | 27% | 3.65 |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 19% | 5.31 |
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
2-19.3%
1-07.9%
1-27.2%
2-07.2%
Questions people ask
Who will win FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?
Our model gives FC Cologne a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Werder Bremen 29%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?
We expect about 3.0 goals (FC Cologne 1.67, Werder Bremen 1.29). Over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance.
Will both teams score in FC Cologne vs Werder Bremen?
Both teams to score has a 60% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 11.8% chance, followed by 2-1 and 1-0.