PredictionsUnited StatesFC Dallas vs Austin FC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 20:30 United States time

FC Dallas vs Austin FC prediction

Toyota Stadium

FC DallasHome
2.57 : 1.41
expected goals
Austin FCAway
62%Dallas
19%Draw
19%Austin
Eagle safe pickFC Dallas or Draw
-424

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Austin FC is FC Dallas to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -424.

Prediction
FC Dallas to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
FC Dallas 2.6, Austin FC 1.4
Best bet
FC Dallas or Draw at -424
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

FC Dallas or Draw
81% chanceFair price -4242 units

Eagle bold pick

FC Dallas to win and both score
40% chanceFair price +1501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Dallas 62%, the draw 19% and Austin FC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Dallas took 10 points from their last 5 games and Austin FC took 9 from 5. FC Dallas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Dallas won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Austin FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Dallas score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.8. Austin FC score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of FC Dallas games and 13 of Austin FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Dallas won 2 and Austin FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Austin FC 1, FC Dallas 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Dallas or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Dallas vs Austin FC: FC Dallas are favourites

The big picture

FC Dallas host Austin FC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 at Toyota Stadium. Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Austin FC is FC Dallas to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -424.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Austin FC form

Austin FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Dallas won 2, Austin FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Austin FC 1, FC Dallas 2.

Our call

We expect FC Dallas to score about 2.6 goals and Austin FC about 1.4. That points to FC Dallas to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -424. Our bold bet is FC Dallas to win and both score at +150.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DallasAustin
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws57
Losses58
Goals scored4125
Goals conceded3536
Scored per game2.01.3
Conceded per game1.81.8
Home record3W 2D 2L3W 4D 3L
Away record7W 3D 3L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored70%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%-1023
Over 2.5 goals76%-315
Over 3.5 goals56%-129
Both teams to score70%-235
FC Dallas or Draw81%-423
Austin FC or Draw38%+164
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.552%-107
Austin FC to win and Over 2.515%+565
FC Dallas clean sheet24%+309
Austin FC clean sheet8%+1208

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.7%
3-17.5%
1-17.2%
2-06.2%
2-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Dallas vs Austin FC?

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Austin FC is FC Dallas to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Dallas or Draw at -424.

What is the score prediction for FC Dallas vs Austin FC?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect FC Dallas to score 2.6 goals and Austin FC 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Austin FC?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of FC Dallas last 20 games and 13 of Austin FC last 20.

How are FC Dallas playing?

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Austin FC playing?

Austin FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Dallas and Austin FC last met?

It ended Austin FC 1, FC Dallas 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Dallas won 2 and Austin FC won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Dallas vs Austin FC?

FC Dallas or Draw at -424, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.