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Predictions › United States › FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers
MLSSat 12 Sept, 20:30 United States time

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers prediction

Toyota Stadium

FC DallasHome
2.00 : 1.40
expected goals
Portland TimbersAway
51%Dallas
23%Draw
26%Portland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-610

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is FC Dallas to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -610.

Prediction
FC Dallas to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Dallas 2.0, Portland Timbers 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -610
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price -6102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price +1621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Dallas 51%, the draw 23% and Portland Timbers 26%. The bookmakers agree and make FC Dallas the favourite at -125.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Dallas took 10 points from their last 5 games and Portland Timbers took 8 from 5. FC Dallas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Dallas won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Portland Timbers won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Dallas score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.8. Portland Timbers score 2.0 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of FC Dallas games and 15 of Portland Timbers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, FC Dallas won 0 and Portland Timbers won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Portland Timbers 2, FC Dallas 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: FC Dallas are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Dallas host Portland Timbers in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 at Toyota Stadium. Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is FC Dallas to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -610.

FC Dallas form

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Portland Timbers form

Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Dallas won 0, Portland Timbers won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Portland Timbers 2, FC Dallas 2.

Our call

We expect FC Dallas to score about 2.0 goals and Portland Timbers about 1.4. That points to FC Dallas to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -610. Our bold bet is FC Dallas to win and Over 2.5 at +162.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DallasPortland
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws55
Losses57
Goals scored4140
Goals conceded3534
Scored per game2.02.0
Conceded per game1.81.7
Home record3W 2D 2L6W 3D 2L
Away record7W 3D 3L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets15%5%
Both teams scored70%80%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Dallas to win51%-104-125-8.2%
A Draw23%+340+300-9.0%
Portland Timbers to win26%+281+260-5.5%
Over 3.5 goals47%+112-105-7.9%
Under 3.5 goals53%-112-120-3.2%
FC Dallas -0.552%-110-135-8.9%
Portland Timbers +0.548%+110-105-6.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%-611
Over 2.5 goals66%-195
Over 3.5 goals44%+126
Both teams to score66%-192
FC Dallas or Draw74%-281
Portland Timbers or Draw49%+104
FC Dallas to win and Over 2.538%+162
Portland Timbers to win and Over 2.519%+429
FC Dallas clean sheet25%+306
Portland Timbers clean sheet13%+642

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
2-19.3%
2-06.7%
2-26.5%
1-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Our prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers is FC Dallas to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -610.

What is the score prediction for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect FC Dallas to score 2.0 goals and Portland Timbers 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of FC Dallas last 20 games and 16 of Portland Timbers last 20.

How are FC Dallas playing?

FC Dallas have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Portland Timbers playing?

Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Dallas and Portland Timbers last met?

It ended Portland Timbers 2, FC Dallas 2. In the last 2 meetings FC Dallas won 0 and Portland Timbers won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers?

Over 1.5 goals at -610, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.