Predictions › Primeira Liga › FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP

Primeira LigaSun 13 Sept, 19:30 UTC

FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP prediction

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

FC FamalicaoHome

0.92 : 1.80

expected goals

Sporting CPAway

18%FC Famalicao

24%Draw

58%Sporting

Eagle safe pickFC Famalicao +1.5

1.49

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP is Sporting CP to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Famalicao +1.5 at 1.49.

Prediction: Sporting CP to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: FC Famalicao 0.9, Sporting CP 1.8
Best bet: FC Famalicao +1.5 at 1.49
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Famalicao +1.5

63% chancePrice 1.491 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5

36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives FC Famalicao 18%, the draw 24% and Sporting CP 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Sporting CP the favourite at 1.51.
2
Recent form
FC Famalicao took 3 points from their last 5 games and Sporting CP took 15 from 5. Sporting CP come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
FC Famalicao won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Sporting CP won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
FC Famalicao score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Sporting CP score 2.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of FC Famalicao games and 15 of Sporting CP games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, FC Famalicao won 0 and Sporting CP won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting CP 1, FC Famalicao 0.
6
The safest bet
FC Famalicao +1.5 has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP: Sporting CP are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Famalicao host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on Sun 13 Sept, 19:30 at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. Our prediction for FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP is Sporting CP to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Famalicao +1.5 at 1.49.

FC Famalicao form

FC Famalicao have 7 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Sporting CP form

Sporting CP have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Famalicao won 0, Sporting CP won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting CP 1, FC Famalicao 0.

Our call

We expect FC Famalicao to score about 0.9 goals and Sporting CP about 1.8. That points to Sporting CP to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Famalicao +1.5 at 1.49. Our bold bet is Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5 at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	FC Famalicao	Sporting
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	12
Draws	9	5
Losses	4	3
Goals scored	22	49
Goals conceded	21	22
Scored per game	1.1	2.5
Conceded per game	1.1	1.1
Home record	5W 3D 1L	8W 1D 2L
Away record	2W 6D 3L	4W 4D 1L
Clean sheets	40%	30%
Both teams scored	45%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
FC Famalicao to win	18%	5.49	5.50	+0.1%
A Draw	24%	4.13	4.50	+8.9%
Sporting CP to win	58%	1.74	1.51	-12.9%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.74	-8.9%
Under 2.5 goals	48%	2.10	1.95	-7.0%
FC Famalicao +1.5	63%	1.58	1.49	-6.0%
Sporting CP -1.5	37%	2.72	2.40	-11.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.31
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.44
Both teams to score	51%	1.97
FC Famalicao or Draw	42%	2.36
Sporting CP or Draw	82%	1.22
FC Famalicao to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.95
Sporting CP to win and Over 2.5	36%	2.80
FC Famalicao clean sheet	16%	6.07
Sporting CP clean sheet	40%	2.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%

0-111.2%

0-210.7%

1-29.8%

0-07.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Our prediction for FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP is Sporting CP to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Famalicao +1.5 at 1.49.

What is the score prediction for FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect FC Famalicao to score 0.9 goals and Sporting CP 1.8.

Will both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of FC Famalicao last 20 games and 12 of Sporting CP last 20.

How are FC Famalicao playing?

How are Sporting CP playing?

What happened when FC Famalicao and Sporting CP last met?

It ended Sporting CP 1, FC Famalicao 0. In the last 2 meetings FC Famalicao won 0 and Sporting CP won 2.

What is the best bet for FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

FC Famalicao +1.5 at 1.49, with a 63% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.