Predictions › Eredivisie › FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle

EredivisieFri 18 Sept, 18:00 UTC

FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Euroborg

FC GroningenHome

2.32 : 1.35

expected goals

PEC ZwolleAway

59%FC Groningen

20%Draw

21%PEC Zwolle

Eagle safe pickFC Groningen or Draw

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle is FC Groningen to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Groningen or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction: FC Groningen to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: FC Groningen 2.3, PEC Zwolle 1.4
Best bet: FC Groningen or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score: 67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Groningen or Draw

79% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Groningen to win and both score

36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives FC Groningen 59%, the draw 20% and PEC Zwolle 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
FC Groningen took 7 points from their last 5 games and PEC Zwolle took 4 from 5. FC Groningen come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
FC Groningen won 4 of their last 10 games at home. PEC Zwolle won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
FC Groningen score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. PEC Zwolle score 1.3 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of FC Groningen games and 12 of PEC Zwolle games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, FC Groningen won 0 and PEC Zwolle won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended PEC Zwolle 1, FC Groningen 1.
6
The safest bet
FC Groningen or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: FC Groningen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Groningen host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 at Euroborg. Our prediction for FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle is FC Groningen to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Groningen or Draw at 1.27.

FC Groningen form

FC Groningen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

PEC Zwolle form

PEC Zwolle have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. FC Groningen won 0, PEC Zwolle won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished PEC Zwolle 1, FC Groningen 1.

Our call

We expect FC Groningen to score about 2.3 goals and PEC Zwolle about 1.4. That points to FC Groningen to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Groningen or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is FC Groningen to win and both score at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	FC Groningen	PEC Zwolle
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	4
Draws	3	6
Losses	10	10
Goals scored	32	25
Goals conceded	35	41
Scored per game	1.6	1.3
Conceded per game	1.8	2.0
Home record	4W 2D 4L	3W 3D 4L
Away record	3W 1D 6L	1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	15%
Both teams scored	75%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 3.5 goals	50%	2.00
Both teams to score	67%	1.49
FC Groningen or Draw	79%	1.27
PEC Zwolle or Draw	41%	2.41
FC Groningen to win and Over 2.5	46%	2.16
PEC Zwolle to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.37
FC Groningen clean sheet	26%	3.86
PEC Zwolle clean sheet	10%	10.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.3%

1-18.5%

3-17.1%

2-06.9%

2-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our prediction for FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle is FC Groningen to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Groningen or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect FC Groningen to score 2.3 goals and PEC Zwolle 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of FC Groningen last 20 games and 14 of PEC Zwolle last 20.

How are FC Groningen playing?

How are PEC Zwolle playing?

What happened when FC Groningen and PEC Zwolle last met?

It ended PEC Zwolle 1, FC Groningen 1. In the last 2 meetings FC Groningen won 0 and PEC Zwolle won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

FC Groningen or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.