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Predictions › Liga MX › FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL
Liga MXSat 19 Sept, 03:00 UTC

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL prediction

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

FC JuarezHome
1.38 : 1.58
expected goals
Tigres UANLAway
33%Juarez
26%Draw
42%Tigres
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL is Tigres UANL to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Tigres UANL to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Juarez 1.4, Tigres UANL 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Juarez 33%, the draw 26% and Tigres UANL 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Juarez took 0 points from their last 5 games and Tigres UANL took 5 from 5. Tigres UANL come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Juarez won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Tigres UANL won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Juarez score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.3. Tigres UANL score 1.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Juarez games and 11 of Tigres UANL games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Juarez won 1 and Tigres UANL won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Juarez 2, Tigres UANL 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL: Tigres UANL shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Juarez host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX on Sat 19 Sept, 03:00 at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Our prediction for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL is Tigres UANL to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

FC Juarez form

FC Juarez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Tigres UANL form

Tigres UANL have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Juarez won 1, Tigres UANL won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Juarez 2, Tigres UANL 1.

Our call

We expect FC Juarez to score about 1.4 goals and Tigres UANL about 1.6. That points to Tigres UANL to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.5 at 3.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JuarezTigres
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws36
Losses138
Goals scored2230
Goals conceded4526
Scored per game1.11.5
Conceded per game2.31.3
Home record3W 1D 6L5W 3D 1L
Away record1W 2D 7L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets0%25%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%2.91
Both teams to score60%1.66
FC Juarez or Draw58%1.71
Tigres UANL or Draw67%1.49
FC Juarez to win and Over 2.521%4.69
Tigres UANL to win and Over 2.528%3.62
FC Juarez clean sheet21%4.86
Tigres UANL clean sheet25%3.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-28.9%
2-17.8%
0-17.5%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

Our prediction for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL is Tigres UANL to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Juarez to score 1.4 goals and Tigres UANL 1.6.

Will both teams score in FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of FC Juarez last 20 games and 13 of Tigres UANL last 20.

How are FC Juarez playing?

FC Juarez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Tigres UANL playing?

Tigres UANL have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Juarez and Tigres UANL last met?

It ended FC Juarez 2, Tigres UANL 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Juarez won 1 and Tigres UANL won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.