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Predictions › J1 League › FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept, 10:00 UTC

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus prediction

Japan National Stadium

FC TokyoHome
1.97 : 1.36
expected goals
Nagoya GrampusAway
51%Tokyo
23%Draw
26%Nagoya
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus is FC Tokyo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
FC Tokyo to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
FC Tokyo 2.0, Nagoya Grampus 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Tokyo 51%, the draw 23% and Nagoya Grampus 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Tokyo took 11 points from their last 5 games and Nagoya Grampus took 6 from 5. FC Tokyo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Tokyo won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Nagoya Grampus won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Tokyo score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.1. Nagoya Grampus score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of FC Tokyo games and 16 of Nagoya Grampus games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus: FC Tokyo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Tokyo host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 at Japan National Stadium. Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus is FC Tokyo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

FC Tokyo form

FC Tokyo have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Nagoya Grampus form

Nagoya Grampus have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Tokyo to score about 2.0 goals and Nagoya Grampus about 1.4. That points to FC Tokyo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TokyoNagoya
Games played2020
Wins108
Draws64
Losses48
Goals scored3433
Goals conceded2335
Scored per game1.71.6
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record5W 1D 3L6W 3D 2L
Away record5W 5D 1L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored50%75%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.55
Over 3.5 goals43%2.35
Both teams to score65%1.55
FC Tokyo or Draw74%1.35
Nagoya Grampus or Draw49%2.05
FC Tokyo to win and Over 2.538%2.65
Nagoya Grampus to win and Over 2.518%5.50
FC Tokyo clean sheet26%3.89
Nagoya Grampus clean sheet14%7.19

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.5%
2-07.0%
1-26.5%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our prediction for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus is FC Tokyo to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect FC Tokyo to score 2.0 goals and Nagoya Grampus 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of FC Tokyo last 20 games and 15 of Nagoya Grampus last 20.

How are FC Tokyo playing?

FC Tokyo have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Nagoya Grampus playing?

Nagoya Grampus have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.