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Predictions › Eredivisie › FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag
EredivisieSat 12 Sept, 14:30 UTC

FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag prediction

De Grolsch Veste

FC TwenteHome
3.04 : 1.11
expected goals
ADO Den HaagAway
76%FC Twente
14%Draw
10%ADO Den Haag
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag is FC Twente to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
FC Twente to win
Chance
76%
Most likely score
3-1
Expected goals
FC Twente 3.0, ADO Den Haag 1.1
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Twente to win and both score
44% chanceFair price 2.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Twente 76%, the draw 14% and ADO Den Haag 10%. The bookmakers agree and make FC Twente the favourite at 1.24.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Twente took 10 points from their last 5 games and ADO Den Haag took 1 from 5. FC Twente come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Twente won 7 of their last 10 games at home. ADO Den Haag won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Twente score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. ADO Den Haag score 1.2 and let in 2.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of FC Twente games and 4 of ADO Den Haag games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag: FC Twente are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Twente host ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie on Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 at De Grolsch Veste. Our prediction for FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag is FC Twente to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28.

FC Twente form

FC Twente have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

ADO Den Haag form

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect FC Twente to score about 3.0 goals and ADO Den Haag about 1.1. That points to FC Twente to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is FC Twente to win and both score at 2.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC TwenteADO Den Haag
Games played205
Wins110
Draws61
Losses34
Goals scored406
Goals conceded2314
Scored per game2.01.2
Conceded per game1.12.8
Home record7W 2D 1L0W 0D 2L
Away record4W 4D 2L0W 1D 2L
Clean sheets25%0%
Both teams scored65%80%
Over 2.5 goals65%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Twente to win76%1.321.24-6.6%
A Draw14%7.087.00-1.1%
ADO Den Haag to win10%9.769.50-2.6%
Over 3.5 goals54%1.841.80-2.4%
Under 3.5 goals46%2.181.95-10.7%
FC Twente -1.558%1.741.61-7.6%
ADO Den Haag +1.542%2.362.20-6.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%1.09
Over 2.5 goals78%1.28
Over 3.5 goals59%1.68
Both teams to score64%1.56
FC Twente or Draw90%1.11
ADO Den Haag or Draw24%4.10
FC Twente to win and Over 2.564%1.57
ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.58%12.76
FC Twente clean sheet33%3.02
ADO Den Haag clean sheet5%20.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-18.2%
2-18.1%
3-07.4%
2-07.3%
4-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

Our prediction for FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag is FC Twente to win, with a 76% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect FC Twente to score 3.0 goals and ADO Den Haag 1.1.

Will both teams score in FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Twente last 20 games and 4 of ADO Den Haag last 5.

How are FC Twente playing?

FC Twente have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are ADO Den Haag playing?

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.