Predictions › Eredivisie › FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven

EredivisieSun 20 Sept, 12:30 UTC

FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

De Grolsch Veste

FC TwenteHome

1.39 : 1.55

expected goals

PSV EindhovenAway

34%FC Twente

26%Draw

40%PSV

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: PSV Eindhoven to win
Chance: 40%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: FC Twente 1.4, PSV Eindhoven 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives FC Twente 34%, the draw 26% and PSV Eindhoven 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
FC Twente took 10 points from their last 5 games and PSV Eindhoven took 13 from 5. PSV Eindhoven come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
FC Twente won 7 of their last 10 games at home. PSV Eindhoven won 7 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
FC Twente score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. PSV Eindhoven score 3.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of FC Twente games and 18 of PSV Eindhoven games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, FC Twente won 0 and PSV Eindhoven won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended PSV Eindhoven 5, FC Twente 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Twente host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Sun 20 Sept, 12:30 at De Grolsch Veste. Our prediction for FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

FC Twente form

FC Twente have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, L, newest first.

PSV Eindhoven form

PSV Eindhoven have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 59 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Twente won 0, PSV Eindhoven won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished PSV Eindhoven 5, FC Twente 1.

Our call

We expect FC Twente to score about 1.4 goals and PSV Eindhoven about 1.6. That points to PSV Eindhoven to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.5 at 3.76.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	FC Twente	PSV
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	14
Draws	6	3
Losses	3	3
Goals scored	40	59
Goals conceded	23	27
Scored per game	2.0	3.0
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	7W 2D 1L	7W 2D 1L
Away record	4W 4D 2L	7W 1D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	10%
Both teams scored	65%	90%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	90%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.78
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.95
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
FC Twente or Draw	60%	1.68
PSV Eindhoven or Draw	66%	1.51
FC Twente to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.58
PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.76
FC Twente clean sheet	21%	4.69
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet	25%	4.02

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

1-28.8%

2-17.9%

0-17.5%

1-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect FC Twente to score 1.4 goals and PSV Eindhoven 1.6.

Will both teams score in FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of FC Twente last 20 games and 18 of PSV Eindhoven last 20.

How are FC Twente playing?

How are PSV Eindhoven playing?

What happened when FC Twente and PSV Eindhoven last met?

It ended PSV Eindhoven 5, FC Twente 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Twente won 0 and PSV Eindhoven won 1.

What is the best bet for FC Twente vs PSV Eindhoven?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.