PredictionsBrasileiraoFlamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino
BrasileiraoSun 20 Sept, 21:30 UTC

Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino prediction

Estadio do Maracana

FlamengoHome
1.79 : 0.70
expected goals
Red Bull BragantinoAway
63%Flamengo
24%Draw
13%Bragantino
Eagle safe pickFlamengo draw no bet
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Flamengo to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Flamengo draw no bet at 1.21.

Prediction
Flamengo to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Flamengo 1.8, Red Bull Bragantino 0.7
Best bet
Flamengo draw no bet at 1.21
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Flamengo draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

Eagle bold pick

Flamengo to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Flamengo 63%, the draw 24% and Red Bull Bragantino 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Flamengo took 12 points from their last 5 games and Red Bull Bragantino took 4 from 5. Flamengo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Flamengo won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Red Bull Bragantino won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Flamengo score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Red Bull Bragantino score 1.4 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Flamengo games and 10 of Red Bull Bragantino games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Flamengo won 1 and Red Bull Bragantino won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Red Bull Bragantino 3, Flamengo 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Flamengo draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino: Flamengo are favourites

The big picture

Flamengo host Red Bull Bragantino in the Brasileirao on Sun 20 Sept, 21:30 at Estadio do Maracana. Our prediction for Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Flamengo to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Flamengo draw no bet at 1.21.

Flamengo form

Flamengo have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Red Bull Bragantino form

Red Bull Bragantino have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Flamengo won 1, Red Bull Bragantino won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Red Bull Bragantino 3, Flamengo 0.

Our call

We expect Flamengo to score about 1.8 goals and Red Bull Bragantino about 0.7. That points to Flamengo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Flamengo draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is Flamengo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.82.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamengoBragantino
Games played2020
Wins128
Draws53
Losses39
Goals scored3927
Goals conceded1724
Scored per game1.91.4
Conceded per game0.81.2
Home record6W 2D 1L5W 1D 5L
Away record6W 3D 2L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets45%30%
Both teams scored45%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.16
Both teams to score42%2.36
Flamengo or Draw87%1.15
Red Bull Bragantino or Draw37%2.70
Flamengo to win and Over 2.535%2.82
Red Bull Bragantino to win and Over 2.56%16.18
Flamengo clean sheet50%2.01
Red Bull Bragantino clean sheet17%6.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.2%
2-013.3%
1-111.0%
2-19.3%
0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino is Flamengo to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Flamengo draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Flamengo to score 1.8 goals and Red Bull Bragantino 0.7.

Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Flamengo last 20 games and 10 of Red Bull Bragantino last 20.

How are Flamengo playing?

Flamengo have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Red Bull Bragantino playing?

Red Bull Bragantino have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Flamengo and Red Bull Bragantino last met?

It ended Red Bull Bragantino 3, Flamengo 0. In the last 2 meetings Flamengo won 1 and Red Bull Bragantino won 1.

What is the best bet for Flamengo vs Red Bull Bragantino?

Flamengo draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.